NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	8.4 [181]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +24.5%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	4.4 [277]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -21.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.19	0.05	-0.00	17	70%	0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.10	0.00	9	81%	0.28	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Kareem Rush	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	12	56%	0.14	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.09
Andre Iguodala	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	9	62%	0.16	2	-0.11	11	82%	0.06
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.16	-0.01	14	39%	-0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.07	0.02	10	80%	0.22	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Javaris Crittenton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	21	47%	0.10	2	-0.15	7	71%	0.04
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.13	-0.01	14	62%	0.16	6	-0.30	4	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.11	0.02	10	50%	-0.08	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	8	37%	-0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	30.3	15.4	28.5	2.5	37.4	144.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +12.3%

PHI +34.5%

WAS -24.1%

PHI +24.6%

PHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	16.3	15.5	113.5	108.4	106.4
season	15.5	15.9		105.3	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.9		111.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	16.4	11.4	14.7	13.9
WAS	16.0	15.6	17.4	16.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	79	79	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-4	14	14.0	13.6	0.37	16.4	15.7	0.70
Theo Ratliff	38	36	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	11.5	15.4	-3.92	15.6	16.7	-1.02
Lou Williams	56	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	6	-6	14.6	12.9	1.62	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Andre Iguodala	80	79	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	3	0	13.7	15.0	-1.32	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Kareem Rush	22	21	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	-1	8	14.5	13.7	0.84	17.1	16.0	1.05
Andre Miller	74	74	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	7	-8	13.7	14.5	-0.84	16.0	17.1	-1.05
Reggie Evans	28	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	2	2	14.9	13.5	1.46	16.2	16.3	-0.07
Willie Green	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	0	6	12.9	14.6	-1.62	16.9	15.9	1.01
Marreese Speights	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	4	-2	14.9	13.2	1.72	16.8	15.9	0.85
Samuel Dalembert	23	23	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.02	-11	17	-28	15.3	13.4	1.91	16.1	16.3	-0.19

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	21	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-7	8	16.5	16.2	0.32	13.4	14.0	-0.63
Juan Dixon	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-4	2	16.5	16.2	0.23	14.6	13.8	0.79
JaVale McGee	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-2	-2	17.3	16.0	1.31	16.1	13.4	2.63
Javaris Crittenton	2	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	15.0	16.3	-1.30	11.0	14.0	-2.99
Andray Blatche	61	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-16	26	15.6	17.5	-1.91	14.7	12.4	2.31
Nick Young	42	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	15.5	16.9	-1.47	13.1	14.5	-1.47
Mike James	73	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-7	8	16.5	15.6	0.89	13.9	13.8	0.10
Caron Butler	75	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-6	6	16.0	17.2	-1.17	14.3	12.3	1.97
DeShawn Stevenson	51	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	0	-6	16.5	16.0	0.55	14.5	13.2	1.31
Darius Songaila	35	36	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	10	-26	17.5	15.6	1.87	12.1	15.0	-2.94
Antawn Jamison	82	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	2	-10	16.3	16.2	0.05	13.4	17.0	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.79,0.62,0.73,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.72,0.58,0.53,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.42,0	91.1%
GSW 118, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	90.8%
IND 92, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.46,0.16,0.08,0	90.7%