NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	114		Excitement	8.7 [155]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +27.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	116		Comeback	7.5 [610]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -19.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.00	7	76%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.35,0.18	0.17	0.02	0.01	16	75%	0.40	5	-0.22	12	100%	0.09
Quentin Richardson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	12	69%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
David Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	15	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Chris Duhon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	80%	0.09	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2	-0.08	-0.14	-0.02	14	37%	-0.10	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.18	0.01	22	58%	0.30	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.15,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	7	75%	0.23	0	0.00	6	83%	0.08
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	62%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	13	46%	0.13	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	15	50%	0.12	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.11	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	29.2	15.6	24.4	2.5	41.3	137.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.0%

NYK -17.6%

LAL +31.6%

LAL +1.7%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.0	15.5	114.0	116.0	106.4
season	13.8	14.9		106.2	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		102.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.6	12.5	14.7	15.8	13.8
LAL	15.6	15.8	14.1	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	57	58	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.05	2	-4	6	13.7	14.1	-0.40	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Tim Thomas	57	56	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-7	12	13.6	14.1	-0.48	15.1	14.8	0.33
David Lee	79	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-3	4	13.5	15.0	-1.41	15.0	14.6	0.45
Nate Robinson	68	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-3	4	13.7	14.2	-0.56	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Chris Duhon	83	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.51	0	-2	2	14.0	12.9	1.08	14.6	16.4	-1.74
Wilson Chandler	78	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.43	-5	3	-8	14.2	12.6	1.54	15.3	13.8	1.52
Al Harrington	78	78	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.35	-14	12	-26	14.0	13.1	0.90	15.1	14.4	0.76

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	69	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.53	4	-2	6	14.3	16.4	-2.12	14.1	13.3	0.84
Kobe Bryant	86	87	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-3	8	14.7	16.7	-2.04	13.9	13.5	0.35
Lamar Odom	81	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.54	0	2	-2	14.5	16.8	-2.32	14.0	13.1	0.97
Trevor Ariza	55	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.54	-5	7	-12	14.8	15.1	-0.32	13.4	14.4	-1.02
Andrew Bynum	68	66	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	-2	6	14.2	16.5	-2.22	14.2	13.1	1.18
Luke Walton	45	47	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-3	8	15.1	14.8	0.32	14.1	13.6	0.54
Josh Powell	32	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	2	-2	16.5	14.2	2.22	13.4	14.1	-0.67
Vladimir Radmanovic	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.09	2	0	2	16.8	14.5	2.32	13.1	14.0	-0.97
Jordan Farmar	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.07	-2	4	-6	16.5	14.7	1.82	14.8	13.7	1.11
Sasha Vujacic	28	27	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	5	-8	16.5	14.3	2.19	12.4	14.4	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 104, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.42,1	90.7%
BOS 86, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	90.7%
MIA 78, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.72,1	90.6%