NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	104		Excitement	8.5 [165]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +24.2%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	9.2 [68]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -21.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Don Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	18	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	8	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.09
Darrell Armstrong	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.08	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	6	0%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.22	-0.01	-0.20	0.01	22	65%	0.02	7	-0.24	18	83%	0.05

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.13	-0.00	12	78%	0.28	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.13
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	9	57%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	19	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	10	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	14	51%	0.09	2	-0.22	7	57%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.4	30.4	15.4	25.6	2.5	36.4	133.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.9%

ATL +10.4%

ORL -3.4%

ATL +15.2%

ORL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.5	15.6	102.0	105.9	102.3
season	14.6	15.5		104.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.8		103.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	11.5	16.2	14.3	18.3	14.9
ATL	13.8	13.8	13.4	13.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	32	31	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.09	9	-12	21	12.6	15.9	-3.29	15.0	12.8	2.19
Don Reid	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	0	-3	12.5	15.1	-2.69	12.8	13.6	-0.78
Troy Hudson	30	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-1	-1	14.8	14.9	-0.03	12.4	14.0	-1.54
Patrick Ewing	43	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	-2	1	15.8	14.1	1.70	13.4	13.6	-0.21
Jud Buechler	20	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	2	-7	14.3	15.0	-0.63	12.4	13.8	-1.35
Horace Grant	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	14.0	16.2	-2.20	14.0	12.7	1.26
Mike Miller	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-7	11	15.1	13.8	1.31	13.8	12.4	1.39
Tracy McGrady	90	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	15.0	14.1	0.87	13.4	14.0	-0.55
Darrell Armstrong	75	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.50	-3	0	-3	14.4	16.1	-1.66	13.7	13.1	0.54
Pat Garrity	56	56	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.38	-14	11	-25	16.9	12.3	4.64	12.6	14.7	-2.08

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	69	69	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.33	15	-12	27	13.6	13.3	0.25	16.3	11.9	4.40
Toni Kukoc	77	77	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.46	9	-6	15	13.9	12.4	1.44	15.1	14.2	0.81
Mark Strickland	51	49	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	-4	11	12.7	14.4	-1.67	16.4	13.4	3.07
Dion Glover	36	36	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	1	1	12.6	14.0	-1.36	16.4	14.0	2.33
Hanno Mottola	65	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-8	19	13.8	13.0	0.76	14.9	14.8	0.04
Nazr Mohammed	70	72	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	7	-11	13.5	13.6	-0.14	14.6	15.6	-1.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	16	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.10	-8	11	-19	15.2	13.2	2.06	11.2	15.5	-4.27
Jason Terry	89	91	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.12	-5	8	-13	13.6	13.1	0.49	14.1	21.2	-7.09
Jacque Vaughn	32	33	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.08	-12	15	-27	13.3	13.6	-0.25	11.9	16.3	-4.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.42,1	90.8%
NYK 114, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.58,1	90.7%
BOS 94, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.66,0.26,1	90.6%