NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	78		Excitement	2.9 [1196]		MVP	Leon Powe (BOS): +6.8%
Boston Celtics	93		Comeback	1.6 [1040]		LVP	Rudy Fernandez (POR): -12.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Przybilla	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	10	57%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	6	54%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Oden	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	0.05	13	46%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.05	10	61%	0.09	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	16	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	4	60%	0.05	5	-0.04	12	67%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	0.09	8	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	12	43%	0.02	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	34.4	19.3	31.2	2.8	33.2	150.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.0%

BOS +6.2%

BOS +11.3%

POR -0.4%

BOS +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	BOS	NBA	POR	BOS	NBA
this game	17.2	16.3	15.5	90.7	108.1	106.4
season	16.7	15.8		111.0	108.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.8	17.4	17.3	16.3	17.2
BOS	16.5	15.4	13.2	20.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ike Diogu	6	6	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-11	7	16.3	17.3	-0.94	19.0	16.1	2.92
Channing Frye	25	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-18	21	16.4	17.5	-1.08	17.9	15.6	2.31
Jerryd Bayless	14	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-15	15	16.1	17.4	-1.36	18.5	15.8	2.65
Steve Blake	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.18	-9	-6	-3	17.9	16.8	1.09	16.1	16.4	-0.35
Greg Oden	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-12	9	17.6	17.0	0.63	14.9	17.3	-2.40
Sergio Rodriguez	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-17	19	16.7	17.5	-0.79	16.8	15.9	0.88
Travis Outlaw	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-13	11	16.4	18.0	-1.60	17.2	15.3	1.89
Nicolas Batum	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-3	-9	17.8	16.9	0.98	13.5	17.9	-4.43
Rudy Fernandez	49	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-9	3	16.1	18.7	-2.67	16.8	15.6	1.24
Joel Przybilla	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-7	-1	17.0	17.4	-0.36	17.0	15.5	1.56
Brandon Roy	50	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	3	-21	18.8	14.9	3.90	15.9	16.8	-0.93
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	3	-21	17.5	16.4	1.08	15.6	17.9	-2.31

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	66	65	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.02	19	-4	23	15.9	17.6	-1.79	17.7	15.6	2.17
Rajon Rondo	60	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.26	27	-12	39	15.0	19.2	-4.23	17.7	16.0	1.68
Kevin Garnett	56	55	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.27	27	-12	39	15.6	17.5	-1.87	18.5	15.0	3.45
Kendrick Perkins	58	59	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.20	24	-9	33	15.1	18.8	-3.72	17.9	15.8	2.09
Paul Pierce	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	0	15	16.1	16.9	-0.86	17.7	15.4	2.36
Brian Scalabrine	31	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	20	-25	16.3	16.3	0.02	15.7	18.1	-2.40
Gabe Pruitt	6	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	16	-17	20.3	16.0	4.36	16.1	17.3	-1.16
Eddie House	28	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.23	-8	23	-31	19.6	14.7	4.88	15.6	18.0	-2.38
Patrick O'Bryant	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	19	-23	16.6	16.3	0.32	15.6	17.4	-1.78
Leon Powe	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	27	-39	17.7	15.4	2.34	15.3	18.4	-3.07
Glen Davis	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	22	-29	19.3	15.4	3.90	15.4	17.7	-2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NYK 78, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIN 95, HOU 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%