NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	78		Excitement	3.1 [1155]		MVP	Alexey Shved (NYK): +8.0%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	1.6 [1066]		LVP	JJ Hickson (DEN): -6.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexey Shved	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.02	12	63%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.05	9	74%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Cleanthony Early	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	5	8%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.02	-0.07	10	38%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	55%	0.08	1	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	10	74%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	12	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	30.9	15.7	26.2	2.4	26.4	132.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +17.3%

DEN +4.4%

DEN +9.1%

DEN +19.3%

NYK -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.1	83.0	115.2	104.2
season	16.1	14.6		98.5	103.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	15.6	15.6	16.5	15.8
DEN	12.5	14.4	15.7	18.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexey Shved	49	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-25	22	15.9	15.7	0.23	15.9	14.3	1.55
Cole Aldrich	30	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-22	16	16.2	15.7	0.49	16.9	14.4	2.49
Travis Wear	40	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.40	-19	-9	-10	16.3	15.5	0.77	15.5	14.9	0.58
Lou Amundson	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-21	14	16.0	15.7	0.29	13.8	15.7	-1.93
Jason Smith	42	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-24	20	15.2	16.3	-1.11	15.4	14.9	0.55
Cleanthony Early	60	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-21	14	15.6	16.1	-0.50	16.3	12.9	3.46
Lance Thomas	48	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.41	-24	-4	-20	15.9	15.7	0.18	13.1	17.1	-4.00
Langston Galloway	62	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.24	-21	-7	-14	16.2	15.2	0.97	14.5	16.2	-1.67
Andrea Bargnani	50	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.23	-21	-7	-14	15.2	16.5	-1.26	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Shane Larkin	62	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.32	-28	0	-28	15.9	15.7	0.12	15.4	14.6	0.73

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	52	54	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.30	26	2	24	14.9	15.4	-0.52	15.9	15.7	0.23
Ty Lawson	48	50	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.45	29	-1	30	14.0	16.4	-2.41	15.7	16.0	-0.32
Randy Foye	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.41	26	2	24	14.9	15.4	-0.42	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Darrell Arthur	18	18	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	14	0	11.9	15.9	-3.96	16.3	15.7	0.55
Joffrey Lauvergne	25	27	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	20	-12	17.5	14.2	3.28	15.9	15.8	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	35	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.45	24	4	20	15.4	15.0	0.44	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Jameer Nelson	16	15	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	20	-12	13.6	15.5	-1.90	16.7	15.7	1.00
Kenneth Faried	54	54	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.11	9	19	-10	15.1	15.1	-0.00	16.2	15.3	0.97
JJ Hickson	45	47	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	22	-16	14.4	15.9	-1.52	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Wilson Chandler	47	46	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	26	-24	14.9	15.4	-0.57	15.3	16.3	-0.99
Gary Harris	41	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	31	-34	16.5	14.0	2.54	16.3	15.5	0.86
Erick Green	28	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.19	-9	37	-46	18.0	13.9	4.12	15.7	15.9	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 78, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.75,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 101, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ATL 93, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1	96.0%