NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	7.3 [367]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): +19.6%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	1.4 [1059]		LVP	Chris Duhon (NYK): -27.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2	-0.01	0.20	-0.01	10	40%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	8	79%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	0.07	-0.12	0.04	25	54%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.28	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	12	48%	-0.06	7	-0.22	3	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	7	74%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	14	56%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.09	0.15	-0.01	17	50%	0.21	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.11	-0.01	14	36%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	29.1	15.4	26.2	2.5	29.2	130.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.0%

ATL +11.6%

NYK -2.3%

ATL +2.1%

NYK -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.5	97.9	102.1	106.4
season	13.8	15.8		106.2	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.5		106.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.3	13.8	16.6	14.3	14.7
ATL	15.7	12.9	15.4	17.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	29	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-1	-1	15.4	14.4	0.98	14.3	15.5	-1.11
Al Harrington	81	80	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.38	8	-11	19	14.8	14.1	0.75	15.5	13.5	1.99
Jared Jeffries	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-1	-1	15.2	14.5	0.69	15.3	15.1	0.15
Anthony Roberson	12	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	6	-15	14.3	14.7	-0.41	12.3	15.5	-3.26
Quentin Richardson	72	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-6	9	14.4	15.6	-1.17	15.4	14.4	0.95
Chris Duhon	85	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.48	6	-9	15	14.7	14.3	0.41	15.5	12.3	3.26
David Lee	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-4	5	14.2	15.9	-1.64	15.5	14.3	1.11
Wilson Chandler	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.43	-3	0	-3	14.2	16.1	-1.87	15.0	15.7	-0.77
Tim Thomas	33	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	14	-31	16.0	14.0	2.03	14.1	15.7	-1.56

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	88	88	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-7	17	15.2	15.1	0.03	15.0	11.9	3.09
Maurice Evans	55	56	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.06	15	-12	27	15.0	15.4	-0.37	15.7	13.3	2.42
Josh Smith	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	3	-3	14.9	15.9	-0.94	13.5	18.4	-4.95
Zaza Pachulia	25	26	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-8	19	13.2	15.8	-2.65	16.3	14.1	2.16
Ronald Murray	32	32	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	-8	19	14.1	15.7	-1.64	15.6	14.2	1.35
Mike Bibby	73	75	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.37	-7	10	-17	15.6	13.6	2.04	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Marvin Williams	77	78	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	12	-21	15.1	15.2	-0.07	14.5	15.6	-1.17
Al Horford	57	57	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.32	-16	19	-35	16.5	13.3	3.20	14.1	15.5	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.64,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 74, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.63,0.84,0.98,1	92.1%
WAS 109, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.84,0.94,0.91,1	92.0%
NOH 77, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.84,0.96,1	92.0%