NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	74		Excitement	6.6 [477]		MVP	Earl Watson (MEM): +29.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	85		Comeback	1.4 [399]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): -39.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.06	-0.06	10	55%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	18	53%	0.12	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	12	54%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.39,-0.4	-0.23	-0.18	-0.02	19	22%	-0.30	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.20	0.02	7	85%	0.30	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	0.00	10	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	62%	0.02	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	5	44%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.09
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.7	29.2	16.3	21.5	2.6	34.0	127.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +57.0%

MEM +10.4%

WAS -27.8%

MEM +2.9%

MEM +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	18.2	15.5	15.5	87.1	98.8	101.6
season	16.5	15.3		100.9	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	20.6	16.5	20.5	15.7	18.2
MEM	13.0	16.3	16.3	16.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	36	37	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-14	17	18.2	18.3	-0.09	15.4	15.5	-0.18
Brendan Haywood	21	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-8	5	18.5	18.2	0.30	18.9	14.2	4.72
Bryon Russell	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-4	-3	18.4	18.1	0.27	15.2	15.6	-0.34
Juan Dixon	3	5	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-7	3	15.0	18.4	-3.37	16.8	15.4	1.43
Jared Jeffries	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	17.1	19.0	-1.88	15.6	15.4	0.22
Tyronn Lue	54	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-7	3	18.9	17.2	1.66	15.2	15.9	-0.79
Charles Oakley	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-8	5	18.2	18.3	-0.07	13.7	17.9	-4.28
Michael Jordan	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	18.2	18.3	-0.08	16.0	14.4	1.62
Jerry Stackhouse	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	0	-11	18.0	20.2	-2.21	15.0	20.2	-5.29
Kwame Brown	64	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	3	-17	18.7	17.0	1.66	15.9	14.0	1.99

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	43	42	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	0	11	15.7	15.2	0.58	18.9	17.6	1.30
Pau Gasol	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-3	17	15.2	15.9	-0.74	17.6	19.4	-1.82
Wesley Person	50	50	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	3	5	15.3	15.6	-0.27	17.5	19.3	-1.86
Earl Watson	43	41	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.15	9	2	7	15.5	15.4	0.12	18.4	18.1	0.37
Lorenzen Wright	49	48	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	5	1	15.6	15.2	0.42	17.9	18.7	-0.81
Stromile Swift	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	6	-1	15.2	15.6	-0.42	18.7	17.9	0.81
Brevin Knight	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	9	-7	15.4	15.5	-0.12	18.1	18.4	-0.37
Gordan Giricek	36	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	8	-5	15.6	15.3	0.27	19.3	17.5	1.86
Mike Batiste	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	14	-17	15.9	15.2	0.74	19.4	17.6	1.82
Drew Gooden	43	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	11	-11	15.2	15.7	-0.58	17.6	18.9	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.63,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.92,1	93.4%
LAC 93, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,1	93.3%
IND 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,1	92.7%