NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	7.2 [387]		MVP	Derek Anderson (LAC): +14.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	1.2 [1110]		LVP	Tyrone Nesby (LAC): -21.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	21	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Avent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	19	49%	-0.07	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.09
Brian Skinner	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	9	42%	-0.10	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Michael Olowokandi	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	8	45%	0.01	4	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.05	-0.06	10	27%	-0.06	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	16	19%	-0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	4	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	79%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	19	53%	0.12	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	16	51%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	71%	0.18	5	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Haywoode Workman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	25.2	14.8	24.2	1.5	32.5	124.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +69.9%

MIL +15.4%

LAC -24.9%

LAC -3.9%

LAC -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.2	94.9	104.1	101.7
season	15.6	14.9		95.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.3		105.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.5	17.4	15.0	13.5	15.7
MIL	13.8	14.7	11.7	15.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Avent	7	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-6	4	16.9	15.6	1.24	12.8	13.9	-1.06
Derek Anderson	74	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-5	2	16.6	13.1	3.47	13.3	15.4	-2.05
Michael Olowokandi	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.26	1	-9	10	15.6	15.8	-0.21	14.3	12.8	1.54
Troy Hudson	62	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	15.3	16.4	-1.13	12.6	16.1	-3.49
Tyrone Nesby	81	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-4	0	15.7	15.5	0.21	13.9	13.4	0.54
Lamar Odom	87	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	-3	-2	15.5	17.6	-2.18	13.8	13.7	0.18
Eric Murdock	45	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	2	-12	15.8	15.6	0.18	15.1	12.8	2.32
Brian Skinner	68	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	2	-12	15.3	16.6	-1.29	14.1	13.1	1.05

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Reid	49	49	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-2	12	15.1	12.5	2.62	15.8	15.7	0.10
Sam Cassell	75	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	13.9	13.4	0.54	15.7	15.7	0.05
Danny Manning	41	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	-1	10	14.2	13.6	0.60	16.3	15.3	0.97
Tim Thomas	43	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-1	10	13.9	13.8	0.11	16.1	15.4	0.69
Vinny Del Negro	34	32	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	2	4	14.0	13.7	0.22	16.2	15.5	0.67
Ray Allen	72	74	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	8	-8	13.8	13.9	-0.07	15.1	17.4	-2.27
Glenn Robinson	74	73	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.18	-1	9	-10	13.7	14.2	-0.51	14.9	18.0	-3.08
Haywoode Workman	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	5	-2	12.8	14.0	-1.13	17.7	15.4	2.29
Ervin Johnson	51	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	8	-8	12.9	14.9	-1.99	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Robert Traylor	33	32	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	11	-14	13.1	14.2	-1.07	17.1	15.0	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.81,0.93,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,1,1,1	94.3%
NOH 81, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.89,0.94,0.93,1,1,1,1	93.9%
BOS 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.97,0.99,1	93.8%