NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	5.9 [624]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +9.3%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.2 [973]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -21.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Amal McCaskill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	15	28%	-0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.09	0.01	21	48%	-0.10	4	-0.12	14	86%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	19	58%	0.11	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.05
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	12	41%	-0.07	1	-0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	11	54%	0.04	6	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	33.3	15.4	29.3	1.6	33.2	138.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +20.2%

NJN +3.3%

NJN +16.5%

NJN +8.8%

NJN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.7	95.6	108.8	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		96.7	98.1
opponent	16.2	15.8		95.2	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.4	15.8	16.4	17.2	16.7
NJN	16.0	17.7	12.6	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	8	7	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-20	28	14.9	16.9	-1.99	16.0	14.9	1.13
John Salmons	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-12	12	4.0	16.8	-12.83	22.0	14.9	7.12
Zendon Hamilton	3	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-12	12	19.0	16.6	2.39	4.0	15.2	-11.20
Eric Snow	56	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-9	6	17.0	16.2	0.80	15.3	14.4	0.90
Greg Buckner	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-13	14	17.0	16.4	0.67	13.8	15.9	-2.09
Aaron McKie	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-9	6	16.0	17.3	-1.31	13.7	16.1	-2.34
Amal McCaskill	38	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-7	2	17.8	15.9	1.97	15.1	14.8	0.30
Glenn Robinson	58	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	1	-14	16.3	17.4	-1.10	14.8	15.3	-0.55
Samuel Dalembert	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	16.1	19.7	-3.63	15.5	12.5	2.98
Kenny Thomas	46	45	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	6	-24	17.4	16.0	1.46	16.0	13.9	2.07
Allen Iverson	84	85	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	4	-20	16.8	15.0	1.83	15.0	13.8	1.20

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	83	82	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-5	22	14.3	21.2	-6.90	16.6	17.3	-0.71
Richard Jefferson	89	89	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-6	24	14.8	22.0	-7.20	16.7	16.5	0.20
Rodney Rogers	37	36	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	7	-2	14.3	15.4	-1.06	17.3	16.3	1.06
Kenyon Martin	84	84	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	5	2	15.0	15.0	-0.05	16.6	18.3	-1.73
Lucious Harris	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	11	-10	14.8	15.1	-0.23	17.0	16.5	0.55
Aaron Williams	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	1	10	15.6	14.0	1.66	16.9	16.4	0.44
Kerry Kittles	55	57	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	9	-6	15.4	14.3	1.12	16.2	17.5	-1.34
Brian Scalabrine	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	9	-6	10.5	15.2	-4.66	15.2	16.8	-1.51
Zoran Planinic	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	17	-22	21.2	14.3	6.90	17.3	16.6	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 80, LAL 91	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	95.9%
WAS 84, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MEM 85, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%