NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	7.4 [314]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (SAC): +19.0%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	1.6 [703]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (WAS): -8.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominic McGuire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.10	-0.07	0.02	22	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Andray Blatche	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,-0.04	0.09	-0.06	0.06	22	59%	0.17	4	-0.21	12	83%	0.03
Nick Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	19	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.00	15	65%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.02	16	54%	0.17	1	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.08	0.03	18	57%	0.15	4	-0.09	10	80%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.7	29.4	19.3	30.6	3.6	39.0	153.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +28.2%

SAC +10.0%

SAC +2.5%

SAC +9.8%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAC	NBA	WAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.3	112.4	114.3	106.0
season	15.7	15.2		102.6	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	16.8	15.0	11.2	14.7
SAC	13.9	13.9	15.0	16.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	43	43	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.15	-3	0	-3	14.9	14.5	0.37	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Dominic McGuire	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-11	19	12.2	15.6	-3.46	16.2	14.3	1.90
Gilbert Arenas	77	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.23	4	-7	11	14.4	15.8	-1.41	14.7	15.7	-1.06
Randy Foye	12	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	0	-3	14.5	14.7	-0.21	16.4	14.7	1.70
Nick Young	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	1	-5	16.4	14.1	2.37	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Brendan Haywood	70	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-4	5	14.2	16.0	-1.78	15.7	12.5	3.16
Caron Butler	80	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-6	9	14.4	16.0	-1.60	14.8	15.1	-0.24
Antawn Jamison	84	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-1	-1	14.7	14.4	0.34	14.8	15.4	-0.67
Earl Boykins	30	29	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.15	-11	8	-19	16.7	13.8	2.88	14.9	14.8	0.06
Andray Blatche	37	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	5	-13	15.6	14.1	1.43	13.9	15.4	-1.55

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omri Casspi	79	76	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	-1	5	14.4	16.8	-2.46	14.5	15.3	-0.77
Sergio Rodriguez	10	10	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-9	21	12.5	15.1	-2.63	16.1	14.5	1.58
Spencer Hawes	15	16	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-6	15	14.8	14.9	-0.07	16.1	14.4	1.66
Andres Nocioni	55	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.27	2	1	1	15.2	14.4	0.82	15.0	14.3	0.68
Beno Udrih	61	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	2	-1	14.9	14.8	0.07	15.0	14.2	0.75
Ime Udoka	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	3	-3	15.5	14.1	1.40	13.9	15.7	-1.78
Donte Greene	42	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	4	-5	14.6	15.1	-0.50	15.9	13.8	2.12
Jason Thompson	75	74	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.26	-4	7	-11	15.3	13.6	1.69	14.2	16.3	-2.19
Kenny Thomas	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	0	3	14.3	14.9	-0.60	14.8	14.7	0.10
Tyreke Evans	83	82	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	11	-19	15.1	13.4	1.72	14.5	15.9	-1.48
Jon Brockman	3	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	6	-9	6.0	15.1	-9.14	10.5	14.8	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.84,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.8%
UTA 87, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.99,1	93.6%
NYK 107, LAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%