NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	5.9 [643]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +36.4%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	92.5 [24]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -16.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.02	20	52%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.06	0.13	-0.09	-0.01	17	75%	0.26	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	13	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	23	46%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.36	0.36	0.07	0.30	0.01	11	68%	0.38	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.08	0.00	17	68%	0.27	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	27	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Devean George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	29.8	16.0	23.2	1.8	30.2	128.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.3%

DAL +0.6%

DAL +3.2%

DAL +15.8%

DAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.5	106.5	105.3	106.4
season	15.7	15.6		100.7	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.1		107.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.3	13.8	16.1	18.9	15.4
DAL	15.4	16.2	14.6	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	13	12	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-3	4	19.5	14.7	4.73	15.7	15.4	0.31
Paul Davis	28	28	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.15	-3	1	-4	15.6	15.3	0.29	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Brian Skinner	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-2	2	15.3	15.4	-0.07	16.0	15.4	0.64
Mardy Collins	8	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	15.1	15.4	-0.30	16.2	15.3	0.91
Mike Taylor	21	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.19	-12	10	-22	17.7	14.7	2.93	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Al Thornton	85	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-7	12	14.9	21.9	-6.99	15.6	13.2	2.38
Baron Davis	78	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-7	12	15.0	17.7	-2.73	15.4	15.2	0.29
Zach Randolph	80	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-2	2	15.4	15.6	-0.21	15.4	15.2	0.29
Eric Gordon	72	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.54	-1	-1	0	15.2	16.1	-0.96	14.9	17.0	-2.08
Marcus Camby	69	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.51	-3	1	-4	15.3	15.8	-0.51	15.6	14.7	0.93

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	47	46	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.36	21	-19	40	15.0	15.8	-0.83	17.3	13.5	3.76
Brandon Bass	50	49	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.46	13	-11	24	15.6	15.1	0.51	16.2	14.5	1.72
Jason Terry	79	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-9	20	15.1	16.8	-1.70	16.1	11.6	4.54
Jason Kidd	65	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.62	-6	8	-14	15.3	15.7	-0.39	14.4	17.6	-3.17
Dirk Nowitzki	85	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	4	-6	15.6	13.6	2.01	15.4	15.2	0.23
Shawne Williams	35	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	1	0	15.4	15.4	-0.05	16.6	14.7	1.93
DeSagana Diop	49	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.15	2	0	2	13.9	17.0	-3.06	14.8	16.1	-1.28
Erick Dampier	6	5	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	11	-20	22.5	14.9	7.58	13.0	15.5	-2.54
Gerald Green	14	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.12	-9	11	-20	16.8	15.2	1.63	10.4	16.1	-5.73
Devean George	45	43	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.03	-12	14	-26	16.1	14.8	1.35	13.9	16.7	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, CHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.42,1	93.1%
HOU 120, DAL 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.37,1	92.9%
NJN 101, ATL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.42,1	92.5%