NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	115		Excitement	11.0 [39]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +39.5%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	4.7 [178]		LVP	Brandon Rush (IND): -18.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4	0.16	0.23	-0.01	21	63%	0.49	1	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.14	0.01	9	61%	0.25	1	-0.06	5	40%	-0.05
Matt Carroll	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.11	0.00	10	47%	0.12	2	-0.04	14	86%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.00	17	42%	0.13	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sean May	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	21	45%	-0.09	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.07	0.25	-0.01	11	32%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.25	-0.08	0.01	21	81%	0.35	3	-0.20	1	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	13	56%	0.08	3	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	20	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	9	40%	-0.05	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	32.1	15.7	28.1	2.5	36.0	1.7	23.0	166.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +31.9%

CHA +22.0%

IND -16.2%

CHA +18.1%

IND -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	IND	NBA	CHA	IND	NBA
this game	16.1	12.8	15.5	106.5	96.4	106.4
season	16.5	14.1		103.0	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	15.0	19.5	14.8	15.8	15.8	16.1
IND	12.7	12.6	14.1	12.4	11.8	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	95	98	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-5	17	16.5	13.5	2.95	13.0	11.6	1.45
Gerald Wallace	86	88	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-5	17	16.0	16.8	-0.81	13.1	11.7	1.39
D.J. Augustin	73	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-2	11	16.4	15.6	0.78	12.5	13.7	-1.23
Emeka Okafor	86	89	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	6	-5	16.2	16.0	0.11	13.2	11.4	1.82
Nazr Mohammed	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	4	-1	17.5	15.8	1.74	12.2	13.0	-0.78
Jason Richardson	74	75	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	11	-15	16.7	14.8	1.91	13.0	12.5	0.45
Shannon Brown	2	3	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	5	-3	1.0	16.4	-15.42	6.0	13.0	-7.03
Matt Carroll	20	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	4	-1	13.8	16.6	-2.80	12.5	12.9	-0.48
Sean May	39	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	12	-17	15.4	16.6	-1.21	13.5	12.5	1.07
Adam Morrison	35	36	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.22	-5	12	-17	16.0	16.2	-0.15	11.9	13.3	-1.32

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	30	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-11	15	12.9	12.8	0.13	17.4	15.6	1.72
Danny Granger	75	74	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-10	13	13.0	12.4	0.61	15.6	17.2	-1.57
Marquis Daniels	90	89	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.34	9	-16	25	12.2	15.4	-3.14	16.2	15.6	0.60
Troy Murphy	82	77	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-9	11	12.5	13.6	-1.08	15.3	18.2	-2.94
Roy Hibbert	9	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	1	-9	15.1	12.6	2.47	15.6	16.2	-0.55
Jeff Foster	63	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	3	-13	13.0	12.6	0.37	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Jarrett Jack	74	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	5	-17	12.7	13.0	-0.28	16.0	16.3	-0.25
Brandon Rush	49	46	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	8	-23	13.6	12.3	1.30	17.3	15.2	2.08
T.J. Ford	88	84	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.46	-8	1	-9	12.9	12.7	0.11	16.6	14.4	2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.65,0.34,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.28,0.54,0.38,0.04,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.26,0	89.2%
MIA 98, SEA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.27,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	89.0%
CHA 106, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.01,0	88.4%