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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 93 Excitement9.4 [81] MVPBrandon Jennings (MIL): +42.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 89 Comeback2.2 [660] LVPKeyon Dooling (MIL): -13.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.280,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.23,0.280.020.26-0.011553%0.322-0.04683%0.01
Dwight Howard0.200,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.210.050.180.021265%0.415-0.212454%-0.14
Gilbert Arenas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.01642%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01646%0.022-0.0510%-0.01
Chris Duhon-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011100%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Ryan Anderson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.05-0.00835%-0.0800.00450%-0.03
Jason Richardson-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.12-0.021350%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.011533%-0.072-0.0600%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Jennings0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.43,0.420.42-0.030.470.022051%0.595-0.175100%0.21
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.09-0.00953%0.1300.0010%-0.03
Earl Barron0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.010.010.010.010.01650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Larry Sanders0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Corey Maggette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
John Salmons0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03-0.030.03-0.07-0.011958%0.093-0.1300%0.00
Jon Brockman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.060.00450%0.011-0.08450%-0.02
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.01712%-0.091-0.032100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.130.01-0.140.00948%-0.111-0.03367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.22.328.415.526.32.539.52.515.2155.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +27.5%
MIL -37.6%
ORL +56.5%
ORL +1.7%
ORL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMILNBAORLMILNBA
this game16.917.715.5100.097.8105.7
season15.216.2106.3100.1
opponent15.416.2100.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL15.815.417.417.420.916.9
MIL17.818.917.817.714.017.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Anderson56550.91-0.411.320.5612-82017.016.70.3217.717.70.02
Hedo Turkoglu74700.70-0.200.900.439-51417.016.30.7217.518.2-0.66
Jameer Nelson66640.53-0.030.560.4722017.714.82.9317.019.2-2.14
Dwight Howard81780.460.040.410.3731217.115.31.7917.618.5-0.91
Brandon Bass49490.010.49-0.480.07-26-816.417.5-1.1117.917.50.43
Chris Duhon2727-0.030.53-0.56-0.0922014.817.7-2.9319.217.02.14
Gilbert Arenas3334-0.060.56-0.62-0.0604-416.317.2-0.9118.817.01.78
Jason Richardson7070-0.140.64-0.770.01-59-1416.518.1-1.5917.717.60.14

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keyon Dooling55550.21-0.710.92-0.059-132218.017.20.7616.916.9-0.05
Carlos Delfino26280.17-0.670.830.31-51-617.917.60.2815.817.4-1.53
Earl Boykins13130.00-0.500.51-0.093-71017.017.8-0.7914.317.3-3.00
Corey Maggette1919-0.07-0.430.36-0.070-4416.717.9-1.1914.217.6-3.44
Jon Brockman3940-0.23-0.270.03-0.261-5618.217.30.9215.917.7-1.79
Earl Barron3635-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.351-5617.717.60.1117.316.60.72
Larry Sanders3132-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.10-106-1617.118.0-0.8416.617.1-0.50
John Salmons7577-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.33-3-1-217.817.10.7517.414.33.12
Luc Mbah a Moute7577-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.29-51-617.817.10.7517.414.33.12
Brandon Jennings7880-0.500.00-0.51-0.30-73-1017.817.00.7917.314.33.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 92, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.16,090.6%
CHA 115, IND 1080.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.63,0.47,0.65,0.34,0.25,0.46,0.33,0.28,0.54,0.38,0.04,0.06,0.02,089.2%
MIA 98, SEA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.27,0.46,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.08,088.5%