NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	116		Excitement	11.3 [29]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +46.2%
Sacramento Kings	114		Comeback	177.6 [3]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): -22.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.39	0.02	0.39	0.02	13	53%	0.48	2	-0.09	8	62%	-0.06
Keyon Dooling	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.36	0.09	0.26	-0.01	13	61%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	18	58%	0.23	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.05
Ryan Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	10	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.11	0.00	14	61%	0.07	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	0.05	7	31%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.01	10	40%	-0.13	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.46	0.46	0.23	0.26	0.02	19	70%	0.51	2	-0.05	16	75%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.2,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.15	0.01	19	48%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.09
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	16	41%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	12	52%	0.02	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.23	-0.23	-0.02	-0.21	-0.00	14	41%	-0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	2.7	34.3	15.8	29.2	2.6	40.0	1.7	25.4	177.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +41.1%

SAC -8.3%

NJN +15.6%

SAC -13.6%

NJN +15.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAC	NBA	NJN	SAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.7	15.5	114.9	110.7	106.4
season	16.0	15.0		106.5	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		112.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	15.5	16.4	16.7	17.7	16.3	16.5
SAC	13.9	14.9	14.6	14.5	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	74	75	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.80	5	-3	8	16.6	16.2	0.37	14.4	15.5	-1.10
Keyon Dooling	58	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-6	14	16.5	16.5	0.05	14.7	14.7	0.07
Brook Lopez	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	1	0	16.2	17.5	-1.23	15.1	13.5	1.62
Jarvis Hayes	36	38	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	1	0	15.8	16.9	-1.03	14.0	15.1	-1.07
Vince Carter	87	87	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	-5	12	16.5	16.2	0.33	14.9	13.4	1.49
Ryan Anderson	37	38	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-6	14	16.1	16.7	-0.61	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Devin Harris	72	72	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.33	-10	12	-22	16.4	16.8	-0.47	15.1	13.9	1.18
Sean Williams	22	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	1	0	17.5	16.2	1.23	13.5	15.1	-1.62
Yi Jianlian	40	40	-0.55	1.05	-1.59	-0.22	-11	13	-24	17.4	15.9	1.46	16.0	13.9	2.17

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	67	64	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.29	2	-4	6	14.6	14.8	-0.21	17.0	15.6	1.46
Jason Thompson	24	27	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.05	11	-13	24	15.3	14.5	0.77	16.8	16.4	0.39
Bobby Brown	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	2	-6	14.1	14.8	-0.64	15.0	16.7	-1.74
Donte Greene	34	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	6	-14	13.4	15.3	-1.92	16.7	16.4	0.34
Bobby Jackson	64	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.39	2	-4	6	15.0	14.2	0.84	16.9	16.0	0.92
Beno Udrih	84	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	14.7	14.6	0.15	16.5	16.3	0.22
John Salmons	97	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	1	-4	14.8	13.3	1.45	16.4	17.8	-1.37
Brad Miller	82	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.55	-2	0	-2	14.9	13.8	1.12	16.7	15.8	0.87
Mikki Moore	49	50	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.67	-7	5	-12	14.6	14.8	-0.28	15.3	17.7	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.72,0.91,0.91,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.43,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 118, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.67,0.73,0	88.5%
MIN 116, NJN 115	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.63,0.24,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.73,0	86.8%
TOR 91, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.39,0.54,0.68,0.95,1	86.8%