NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	118		Excitement	12.9 [9]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +41.6%
Denver Nuggets	115		Comeback	17.1 [57]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -46.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42	0.11	0.31	-0.00	19	66%	0.54	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.06
Kyle Korver	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,0.37	0.15	0.22	-0.00	16	67%	0.52	1	-0.14	8	75%	0.10
Mehmet Okur	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.02	10	62%	0.19	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	7	54%	0.16	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	71%	0.10	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	6	-0.26	6	83%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	-0.46	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.46,-0.46	-0.19	-0.27	-0.00	15	24%	-0.39	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.17	0.01	17	69%	0.45	6	-0.22	8	87%	0.08
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	5	90%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	27	49%	0.15	4	-0.11	16	69%	0.03
J.R. Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	15	51%	0.07	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.08
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	11	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27,-0.3	-0.30	-0.10	-0.19	0.01	14	35%	-0.23	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	29.2	15.4	31.4	2.4	36.7	2.7	14.4	159.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.9%

UTA +19.7%

UTA +20.0%

DEN -35.0%

UTA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	14.7	14.5	15.4	107.3	106.5	105.7
season	15.5	13.3		111.2	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.0		105.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	15.2	15.5	13.6	14.8	13.8	14.7
DEN	14.8	15.1	13.6	14.0	16.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	77	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.31	12	-9	21	14.4	15.4	-0.97	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Matt Harpring	52	49	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.50	5	-2	7	14.8	14.6	0.17	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Andrei Kirilenko	71	72	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-3	9	14.6	14.8	-0.14	15.4	12.7	2.61
Deron Williams	93	94	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	5	-7	14.7	14.5	0.25	14.9	11.9	2.94
Mehmet Okur	62	64	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	-8	19	15.3	13.8	1.51	15.4	13.2	2.13
Carlos Boozer	90	87	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.45	-10	13	-23	14.5	15.4	-0.94	14.3	15.4	-1.16
Jason Hart	17	14	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	-2	7	14.5	14.7	-0.25	11.9	14.9	-2.94
Jarron Collins	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	16.0	14.7	1.33	0.0	14.5	-14.49
Paul Millsap	45	45	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	1	1	14.4	14.9	-0.51	13.5	15.2	-1.72
Ronnie Brewer	33	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	12	-21	15.4	14.4	0.97	14.8	14.4	0.41
CJ Miles	9	7	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	8	-13	13.1	14.8	-1.71	10.1	14.8	-4.65

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	87	88	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.03	7	-10	17	14.6	14.0	0.67	15.1	13.1	1.99
Yakhouba Diawara	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	4	-11	13.3	14.6	-1.36	15.4	14.6	0.82
Anthony Carter	63	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-7	11	15.0	13.7	1.30	14.8	14.4	0.40
Eduardo Najera	36	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	3	-9	13.2	15.1	-1.94	14.4	14.8	-0.48
Marcus Camby	84	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	14.7	13.7	1.06	14.7	14.5	0.23
Linas Kleiza	67	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	2	-7	13.3	16.4	-3.14	13.8	16.1	-2.36
Allen Iverson	106	107	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	2	-7	14.7	3.5	11.20	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Kenyon Martin	86	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-2	1	15.1	12.1	3.01	14.9	13.9	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.67,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 116, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.72,0.91,0.91,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.43,0.85,0	88.5%
LAC 105, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.72,0	88.0%
PHX 106, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.83,0.85,0.92,0	87.4%