NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	10.2 [64]		MVP	Jim Jackson (PHX): +22.0%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	17.6 [50]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -65.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.22	0.00	0.21	-0.01	6	75%	0.30	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.02	0.13	-0.01	15	57%	0.24	1	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	-0.04	21	51%	0.09	2	-0.10	3	67%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	0.07	-0.09	0.03	12	68%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.06
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	8	36%	-0.06	2	-0.03	9	56%	-0.07
Steve Nash	-0.54	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.33,-0.33,-0.43,-0.43,-0.54,-0.54	-0.14	-0.39	0.01	21	45%	-0.30	7	-0.24	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	15	59%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	0.03	20	48%	0.01	1	-0.05	10	80%	0.06
Luis Flores	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,-0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	15	53%	0.18	3	-0.26	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	30%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	7	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.39,-0.39,-0.32,-0.34,-0.37,-0.66	-0.66	-0.17	-0.51	-0.02	27	32%	-0.60	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	366.9	2.5	28.4	16.4	22.9	2.6	33.4	2.5	20.3	495.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +97.2%

PHX +6.7%

GSW -50.9%

GSW -8.9%

PHX +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	15.5	97.2	93.6	104.0
season	13.5	15.0		112.9	102.3
opponent	15.2	16.0		104.7	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	12.8	13.2	16.2	14.2	10.2	13.6
GSW	16.0	16.8	14.4	15.2	14.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	63	63	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.54	10	-6	16	12.5	15.3	-2.80	16.2	14.6	1.67
Shawn Marion	97	97	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.47	3	1	2	13.6	14.3	-0.78	15.2	17.9	-2.68
Joe Johnson	101	102	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-2	8	13.9	10.5	3.39	15.6	14.7	0.87
Steve Nash	88	89	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	5	-6	13.6	13.8	-0.21	15.2	16.8	-1.55
Jake Voskuhl	25	25	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	-4	12	13.2	13.8	-0.57	17.4	15.0	2.37
Walter McCarty	23	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-1	6	12.7	13.9	-1.20	17.7	15.0	2.69
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	78	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.08	-5	9	-14	14.1	12.4	1.67	14.9	17.0	-2.05
Quentin Richardson	69	68	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	10	-16	14.5	12.2	2.28	14.9	16.6	-1.77

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	58	58	0.62	-1.12	1.74	0.09	18	-22	40	14.1	17.2	-3.13	15.1	12.0	3.16
Mickael Pietrus	23	24	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.03	7	-11	18	16.0	15.4	0.65	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Eduardo Najera	20	18	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-11	18	16.1	15.4	0.70	13.3	13.7	-0.44
Luis Flores	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	16.6	15.5	1.11	16.3	13.5	2.82
Zarko Cabarkapa	9	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-2	0	17.7	15.3	2.33	12.1	13.8	-1.70
Dale Davis	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	1	-6	19.1	15.3	3.86	11.7	13.8	-2.06
Derek Fisher	94	94	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-4	4	14.9	19.5	-4.56	13.8	12.8	0.98
Calbert Cheaney	48	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.54	4	-8	12	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.1	14.0	-0.91
Clifford Robinson	42	41	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	10	-24	17.4	14.3	3.09	12.9	14.1	-1.26
Mike Dunleavy	95	96	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	2	-8	15.4	16.2	-0.78	14.1	10.5	3.61
Speedy Claxton	60	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	6	-16	15.7	15.3	0.41	13.1	14.3	-1.22
Jason Richardson	82	82	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.29	-17	13	-30	15.5	15.8	-0.33	13.4	14.3	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.83,0.85,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 118, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.67,0.73,0	87.4%
LAC 105, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.72,0	86.1%
NJN 116, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.72,0.91,0.91,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.43,0.85,0	85.3%