NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	106		Excitement	7.4 [349]		MVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): +27.3%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	12.8 [158]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): -11.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	12	69%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	16	62%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	16	44%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.12,-0.1	0.01	-0.09	0.01	18	49%	0.01	2	-0.11	9	78%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	7	36%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.04	0.24	0.00	8	65%	0.32	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.15	0.01	20	63%	0.30	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.05
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	18	59%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	15	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	13	85%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.6	30.3	16.7	28.2	2.4	33.3	136.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.9%

DAL +1.5%

DAL +1.3%

DAL +20.7%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.8	15.5	108.2	112.4	106.4
season	14.1	15.6		106.5	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.3		107.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	14.6	14.6	15.3	14.8
DAL	14.1	14.2	15.4	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	49	45	0.51	-1.01	1.52	0.22	10	-13	23	13.6	16.0	-2.43	14.5	15.0	-0.53
T.J. Ford	53	53	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.19	-3	0	-3	16.4	12.8	3.59	15.8	13.5	2.38
Roy Hibbert	16	14	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-4	5	11.7	15.4	-3.63	16.2	14.5	1.71
Brandon Rush	64	62	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-11	19	14.0	16.2	-2.22	14.2	15.7	-1.46
Marquis Daniels	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.16	-2	-1	-1	15.2	13.6	1.60	14.4	15.6	-1.18
Troy Murphy	69	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	0	-3	15.6	12.9	2.73	15.1	14.0	1.09
Danny Granger	57	58	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.32	-10	7	-17	15.2	14.2	0.93	15.8	13.2	2.67
Jarrett Jack	49	47	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.62	-2	-1	-1	12.9	16.7	-3.73	13.4	16.0	-2.66
Rasho Nesterovic	62	65	-1.09	0.59	-1.68	-0.68	-14	11	-25	15.6	13.3	2.30	14.3	15.7	-1.35

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	64	61	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.54	8	-5	13	13.3	17.5	-4.14	15.5	13.6	1.83
Jason Terry	74	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-7	17	14.7	14.9	-0.15	14.3	16.5	-2.15
Antoine Wright	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-3	9	14.7	15.1	-0.44	15.5	11.9	3.56
Jason Kidd	81	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	1	1	14.6	15.4	-0.75	15.4	12.3	3.13
Dirk Nowitzki	80	81	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	3	-3	14.2	17.5	-3.37	14.9	14.1	0.81
Brandon Bass	20	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	7	-11	18.5	13.8	4.72	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Jose Juan Barea	16	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	2	-1	15.4	14.6	0.75	12.3	15.4	-3.13
Shawne Williams	14	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	6	-9	13.9	14.9	-1.05	14.0	14.9	-0.91
James Singleton	18	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.03	-1	4	-5	15.7	14.5	1.12	16.4	14.4	2.09
Devean George	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	9	-15	15.3	14.7	0.61	10.0	15.3	-5.27
DeSagana Diop	30	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.17	2	1	1	16.8	13.8	3.01	13.9	15.2	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.43,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.15,0.37,0.33,0.73,1	90.3%
UTA 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	90.2%
DAL 106, PHX 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.19,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.73,1	90.2%