NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	4.8 [866]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (MIL): +5.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	1.1 [940]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -19.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	71%	0.11	5	-0.08	10	80%	-0.00
David Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Roberson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	21	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	10	32%	-0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.04	0.06	21	40%	-0.11	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	0.00	0.08	12	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	0.08	12	54%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	16	32%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.04	0.03	12	32%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	26.3	15.7	22.3	2.5	28.3	122.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +49.5%

NYK -19.9%

MIL +26.1%

NYK -5.8%

NYK -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.6	15.5	86.1	102.0	106.4
season	13.8	15.0		106.2	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	12.5	14.0	12.9	13.8
MIL	12.5	16.3	16.7	13.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	47	48	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.14	9	-26	35	13.9	13.6	0.33	15.1	14.2	0.86
Anthony Roberson	36	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-21	25	13.5	13.9	-0.45	14.9	14.5	0.38
Quentin Richardson	80	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.29	-24	7	-31	13.9	13.1	0.84	14.9	13.5	1.37
Nate Robinson	85	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-2	-13	13.6	14.7	-1.10	14.6	14.6	0.01
Chris Duhon	91	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.00	-15	-2	-13	13.8	13.4	0.40	14.5	15.5	-0.99
David Lee	83	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.12	-23	6	-29	14.0	12.4	1.60	14.7	14.3	0.36
Wilson Chandler	83	84	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.01	-21	4	-25	13.5	15.1	-1.64	14.0	17.4	-3.38

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	48	48	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	4	9	14.9	14.3	0.62	13.9	13.6	0.29
Andrew Bogut	50	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	5	7	16.2	13.0	3.20	14.6	13.0	1.61
Luc Mbah a Moute	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	5	7	15.6	13.3	2.35	14.2	13.2	1.00
Luke Ridnour	56	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	8	1	15.2	13.8	1.38	14.3	13.2	1.12
Joe Alexander	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	8	1	14.3	14.9	-0.53	13.3	14.2	-0.97
Richard Jefferson	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	9	-1	14.9	14.3	0.53	14.2	13.3	0.97
Tyronn Lue	32	32	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	9	-1	13.5	15.1	-1.66	13.3	14.0	-0.70
Charlie Villanueva	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.27	13	4	9	13.2	15.2	-1.95	14.7	13.4	1.35
Ramon Sessions	60	60	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.28	13	4	9	14.4	14.9	-0.50	13.9	13.6	0.30
Malik Allen	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	12	-7	13.3	15.1	-1.77	12.5	14.2	-1.75
Francisco Elson	29	28	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.31	-8	25	-33	13.1	15.2	-2.05	13.2	14.0	-0.81
Austin Croshere	17	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.19	-9	26	-35	13.3	14.9	-1.58	9.7	14.6	-4.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	95.3%
ORL 88, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHA 78, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%