NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	5.3 [767]		MVP	Leon Powe (BOS): +10.8%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.8 [1019]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -5.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	75%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Zach Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	15	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	23	49%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.04
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	13	56%	0.11	3	-0.05	13	77%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.11	4	-0.09	6	33%	-0.05
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	14	45%	0.00	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.1	15.7	27.2	2.4	28.2	130.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.6%

NYK -6.6%

BOS +8.1%

BOS +1.3%

BOS +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	13.1	16.1	15.5	102.0	112.2	106.4
season	13.8	15.8		106.2	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.6	16.3	14.0	10.2	13.1
BOS	16.9	15.7	14.8	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	45	45	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-15	21	12.2	13.9	-1.75	16.6	15.8	0.85
Mardy Collins	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-6	3	11.8	13.6	-1.72	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Malik Rose	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-8	7	11.5	13.5	-1.98	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	48	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.5	11.8	2.66	16.5	15.8	0.65
Quentin Richardson	59	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-8	7	13.3	12.9	0.35	16.7	15.4	1.34
Nate Robinson	65	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	12.4	14.6	-2.20	16.1	16.2	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	12.8	14.5	-1.69	16.2	15.7	0.58
Zach Randolph	74	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	7	-23	13.8	11.1	2.66	15.6	17.7	-2.06
Chris Duhon	81	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.15	-16	7	-23	13.8	10.1	3.73	15.8	17.7	-1.98

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	85	87	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-3	15	16.1	16.2	-0.10	13.4	10.7	2.78
Tony Allen	37	37	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.08	10	-1	11	15.9	16.3	-0.32	13.9	12.6	1.29
Eddie House	41	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-1	11	16.4	15.9	0.51	13.6	12.8	0.80
Brian Scalabrine	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	0	9	14.8	17.3	-2.57	13.3	13.0	0.33
Glen Davis	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	4	1	16.6	15.8	0.80	14.0	12.6	1.44
Kendrick Perkins	55	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	7	-5	16.5	15.7	0.71	12.7	13.6	-0.87
Leon Powe	58	57	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	11	-13	16.6	15.5	1.13	13.1	13.1	0.07
Rajon Rondo	57	58	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	8	-7	15.9	16.4	-0.51	12.6	13.9	-1.27
Paul Pierce	74	75	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	11	-13	16.3	15.8	0.47	12.2	16.0	-3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	95.1%
GSW 108, HOU 112	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,1	94.9%
WAS 87, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%