NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	5.8 [691]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +31.6%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	1.5 [653]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -8.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	25	58%	0.18	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.14	-0.04	0.02	22	63%	0.15	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	87%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	15	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.10	-0.06	29	58%	0.35	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	12	65%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.03	17	50%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Nene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.4	34.7	15.8	31.3	3.4	32.3	148.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.1%

HOU +3.7%

HOU +9.9%

GSW -1.4%

HOU +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	11.9	17.2	14.3	109.1	113.1	109.3
season	13.4	14.8		114.5	114.0
opponent	14.4	15.0		109.3	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.1	14.7	14.1	9.0	11.9
HOU	15.6	14.7	17.2	21.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alfonzo McKinnie	22	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-9	14	11.8	11.9	-0.18	18.0	16.9	1.01
Quinn Cook	1	1	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-7	10	4.0	12.0	-7.99	0.0	17.4	-17.36
Jordan Bell	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	1.0	12.0	-11.02	6.0	17.3	-11.30
Kevon Looney	44	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-5	6	11.9	11.9	-0.04	17.5	16.9	0.56
Shaun Livingston	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	1	-6	11.3	12.1	-0.76	19.8	16.2	3.56
Draymond Green	84	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.45	5	-9	14	11.6	13.5	-1.91	17.4	16.0	1.39
Stephen Curry	90	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-6	8	11.7	14.3	-2.67	17.2	16.6	0.69
Kevin Durant	88	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.40	0	-4	4	12.2	9.6	2.56	17.1	17.6	-0.47
Klay Thompson	74	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	8	-20	12.5	10.1	2.45	17.0	17.6	-0.61
Andre Iguodala	65	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.15	-17	13	-30	12.1	11.5	0.58	15.9	19.3	-3.42

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	86	86	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-7	18	16.9	18.9	-2.00	12.3	9.0	3.35
James Harden	84	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-3	10	16.6	20.3	-3.64	11.4	15.2	-3.74
Chris Paul	75	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-3	10	17.1	17.6	-0.53	11.7	12.6	-0.89
Eric Gordon	83	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	16.9	18.6	-1.65	12.3	10.1	2.20
Austin Rivers	65	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.38	-2	6	-8	18.7	14.3	4.44	11.5	12.8	-1.27
Iman Shumpert	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	3	-2	18.5	16.2	2.21	11.7	12.0	-0.30
Clint Capela	46	44	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	3	-2	16.0	18.2	-2.29	13.5	10.7	2.82
Gerald Green	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	6	-8	17.0	17.2	-0.19	8.2	12.2	-3.98
Nene	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	17.9	17.1	0.75	9.0	12.1	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.68,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.91,1,1	94.9%
WAS 87, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DAL 92, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%