NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	7.1 [409]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +18.5%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	15.4 [54]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): -24.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	18	60%	0.19	1	-0.01	6	50%	0.01
Willie Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.06	-0.04	15	47%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,0,0,-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.00	20	44%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	100%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Elton Brand	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	17	34%	-0.07	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	12	31%	-0.13	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	6	83%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	13	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	13	43%	0.03	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	8	42%	-0.05	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25	-0.25	-0.06	-0.21	-0.02	19	45%	-0.18	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	35.2	15.8	24.2	2.4	30.6	136.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -19.7%

PHI +13.5%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +36.7%

PHI +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	15.5	94.9	92.0	106.4
season	15.5	14.1		105.3	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.9		107.7	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	12.0	16.3	15.6	15.1
IND	11.8	15.1	13.7	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	58	56	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.46	9	-7	16	14.9	15.3	-0.46	15.2	12.2	2.95
Andre Iguodala	75	78	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.63	3	-1	4	15.7	13.0	2.65	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Elton Brand	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.71	-4	6	-10	16.3	11.4	4.94	13.7	14.5	-0.83
Andre Miller	72	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.57	-1	3	-4	16.4	11.4	4.96	13.6	14.7	-1.12
Thaddeus Young	84	85	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-4	10	15.0	15.1	-0.02	13.9	14.1	-0.27
Royal Ivey	26	25	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.33	16	-14	30	13.3	15.7	-2.36	14.9	13.6	1.36
Lou Williams	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	-1	4	11.4	16.4	-4.96	14.7	13.6	1.12
Marreese Speights	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	6.3	15.3	-8.99	12.7	13.9	-1.27
Reggie Evans	22	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.28	8	-6	14	12.0	15.9	-3.86	14.8	13.7	1.12
Kareem Rush	29	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	7	-12	13.3	15.8	-2.41	13.3	14.1	-0.81
Samuel Dalembert	25	26	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	0.24	-23	25	-48	17.4	14.3	3.09	11.0	14.9	-3.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	33	32	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-9	16	12.5	14.6	-2.07	15.3	14.9	0.39
Roy Hibbert	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-3	4	14.0	13.9	0.10	18.5	15.0	3.52
Maceo Baston	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	1.0	14.0	-13.03	0.0	15.1	-15.05
Brandon Rush	36	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	4	-10	14.5	13.6	0.89	13.8	15.7	-1.93
Stephen Graham	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-1	0	16.3	13.2	3.07	13.6	15.5	-1.93
Jeff Foster	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.04	-5	3	-8	15.0	13.3	1.70	15.9	14.6	1.30
Rasho Nesterovic	57	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.67	19	-21	40	13.0	15.0	-2.01	15.5	14.4	1.08
Travis Diener	16	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	7	-16	13.9	13.9	-0.03	12.9	15.5	-2.52
Danny Granger	81	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	2	-6	13.9	14.1	-0.25	15.3	13.9	1.34
T.J. Ford	79	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	13.7	14.7	-1.03	15.6	13.0	2.60
Marquis Daniels	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.77	8	-10	18	13.7	14.7	-1.03	15.6	12.8	2.76
Jarrett Jack	57	54	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.27	-18	16	-34	14.5	13.2	1.29	13.8	16.5	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.7,0.78,0.68,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.69,0.55,0.25,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.53,0.46,0.34,0.04,0	89.4%
GSW 124, LAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.57,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.85,0.66,0.68,0.16,0	89.1%
WAS 106, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.53,0.55,0.05,0.02,0	89.0%