inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 106 Excitement7.4 [356] MVPTrevor Ariza (WAS): +23.6%
Boston Celtics 99 Comeback10.3 [113] LVPJeff Green (BOS): -12.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.240.140.100.001867%0.332-0.104100%0.03
John Wall0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.100.021850%0.121-0.02475%-0.01
Nene0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.050.05672%0.0800.00683%-0.02
Martell Webster0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.04-0.02450%0.081-0.0420%-0.03
Otto Porter0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0.020,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00965%0.072-0.05250%-0.02
Trevor Booker-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.040.03965%0.063-0.12250%-0.01
Bradley Beal-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.021235%-0.031-0.042100%0.01
Garrett Temple-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.01520%-0.041-0.0400%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.10.100.120.020.051868%0.212-0.1220%-0.02
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.05-0.01662%0.111-0.0210%-0.03
Vitor Faverani0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.00560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Phil Pressey00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Sullinger0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.08-0.070.031855%-0.001-0.02475%-0.02
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.070.00950%-0.041-0.04475%0.00
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.05-0.031150%0.055-0.1500%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.09-0.021339%-0.062-0.07771%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.62.528.215.424.41.733.0127.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +46.8%
BOS -4.5%
WAS +3.4%
WAS +4.4%
WAS +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASBOSNBAWASBOSNBA
this game14.115.615.1108.2103.1105.2
season15.115.4103.8101.2
opponent15.015.5106.0102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.412.813.015.314.1
BOS13.417.216.515.315.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcin Gortat70690.91-0.411.310.3519-123113.914.7-0.7915.715.20.52
John Wall77740.88-0.381.250.4116-92513.516.4-2.8915.615.7-0.17
Trevor Ariza75710.76-0.261.020.4710-31313.914.9-0.9915.316.4-1.04
Bradley Beal58570.74-0.240.990.4211-41513.514.9-1.4215.815.30.57
Nene50490.210.29-0.070.30-310-1313.714.5-0.8014.217.1-2.92
Kevin Seraphin48470.000.50-0.49-0.1761514.014.2-0.1416.614.62.00
Trevor Booker2727-0.120.62-0.750.05-613-1915.613.52.0916.015.40.62
Otto Porter2223-0.220.72-0.93-0.19-18-914.514.00.5616.315.40.93
Martell Webster4241-0.290.79-1.07-0.05-815-2315.013.41.6415.315.8-0.44
Garrett Temple2122-0.380.88-1.25-0.11-916-2516.413.52.8915.715.60.17

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vitor Faverani16150.30-0.801.100.184-111514.615.8-1.2416.513.72.78
Gerald Wallace33320.25-0.751.000.28-1-6517.214.82.4215.813.32.52
Phil Pressey25240.21-0.710.920.24-1-6517.514.92.5517.013.23.82
Kris Humphries31320.15-0.650.800.150-7716.215.30.9314.513.90.53
Courtney Lee15130.06-0.560.610.060-7717.715.22.5415.014.01.02
Kelly Olynyk12110.05-0.550.600.021-8916.815.41.4215.513.91.61
Avery Bradley7782-0.650.15-0.80-0.45-70-715.017.8-2.8013.616.6-2.93
Jordan Crawford6972-0.680.18-0.85-0.56-4-3-114.817.7-2.8813.216.6-3.41
Jeff Green6971-0.690.19-0.88-0.39-103-1315.116.8-1.7013.715.3-1.58
Jared Sullinger6063-0.730.23-0.96-0.53-70-715.815.30.5114.114.2-0.14
Brandon Bass7375-0.770.27-1.03-0.47-103-1315.216.9-1.6813.316.7-3.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.53,0.55,0.05,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 102, DET 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.53,0.46,0.34,0.04,090.3%
NOH 94, PHI 890.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,089.7%
POR 92, MIA 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.05,0.02,089.6%