inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 91 Excitement5.3 [759] MVPBen Gordon (CHI): +29.3%
Chicago Bulls 98 Comeback3.9 [233] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -7.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Erick Dampier0.050,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.011157%0.092-0.04667%-0.01
Brandon Bass0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.02-0.02450%0.0500.0000%0.00
James Singleton0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.000100%0.0300.002100%0.01
Antoine Wright0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.01533%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Jason Terry-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03-0.00-0.010.011450%0.012-0.034100%0.02
Gerald Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01330%-0.0400.00425%-0.03
Jason Kidd-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02664%0.065-0.102100%0.00
Josh Howard-0.070,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.022340%-0.002-0.07786%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki-0.070,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.02-0.061732%-0.032-0.05367%-0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ben Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.190.09-0.012167%0.352-0.061090%0.04
Derrick Rose0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.020.04-0.071742%0.0900.00450%-0.02
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.04-0.01550%0.0700.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00-0.031947%0.041-0.00580%-0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.01-0.00-0.04557%0.062-0.034100%0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.00-0.041036%0.0200.002100%0.01
Joakim Noah0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00233%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05525%-0.031-0.00667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.11.830.415.626.21.832.4140.4
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +36.1%
CHI +5.1%
DAL -11.0%
CHI +21.2%
DAL -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALCHINBADALCHINBA
this game14.715.315.594.8102.1106.4
season15.614.8108.9106.3
opponent15.715.4107.2107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.415.815.614.214.7
CHI13.814.215.118.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass24240.04-0.540.58-0.022-91117.913.74.2215.315.3-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse24240.03-0.530.560.030-7716.914.02.8915.115.3-0.22
James Singleton34-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-4120.014.55.4618.515.23.35
DeSagana Diop2524-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-2-314.914.60.2315.815.10.67
Gerald Green2120-0.15-0.350.200.02-6-1-516.114.31.7816.814.91.91
Antoine Wright2122-0.16-0.340.170.10-92-1117.114.03.1213.115.9-2.80
Erick Dampier6163-0.22-0.280.06-0.251-8913.916.1-2.1215.015.8-0.76
Jason Kidd7677-0.25-0.250.00-0.488-152313.718.6-4.9215.414.80.63
Jason Terry6766-0.42-0.07-0.35-0.25-6-1-514.215.8-1.5515.614.61.01
Josh Howard7979-0.540.04-0.58-0.30-81-914.416.1-1.6415.215.8-0.65
Dirk Nowitzki7977-0.570.07-0.63-0.30-92-1114.117.6-3.5015.215.7-0.56

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng75750.64-0.140.780.2314-72115.415.00.4313.718.3-4.64
Ben Gordon85840.470.030.440.3252315.215.8-0.5914.416.7-2.33
Tyrus Thomas67650.460.040.43-0.0317-102714.916.1-1.2116.012.04.00
Derrick Rose85850.400.100.300.2261515.315.4-0.0814.020.5-6.59
Andres Nocioni55550.350.150.200.1761515.515.00.5915.613.62.00
Aaron Gray17180.180.32-0.14-0.1411-41513.915.6-1.7115.414.50.91
Drew Gooden63630.130.37-0.230.49-1219-3115.914.11.7814.615.0-0.40
Larry Hughes25250.100.40-0.300.0134-114.615.5-0.8817.613.73.91
Joakim Noah810-0.240.74-0.970.20-1522-3716.715.21.5910.415.2-4.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 85, MEM 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.3%
SEA 82, UTA 860.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,192.7%
PHX 87, GSW 1060.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,192.4%