NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	6.1 [621]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +45.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.5 [1047]		LVP	Charlie Villanueva (MIL): -21.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.04	0.05	-0.11	16	50%	0.20	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.01	0.07	12	66%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Joe Alexander	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	4	44%	-0.04	1	-0.06	8	62%	-0.05
Charlie Villanueva	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	0.01	15	35%	-0.12	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.23	0.20	-0.03	24	71%	0.50	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.11	0.00	5	100%	0.25	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	79%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	8	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.6	35.0	14.8	23.2	2.3	34.9	140.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.4%

CLE +1.2%

MIL -21.4%

CLE +34.1%

MIL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.5	103.3	108.8	106.4
season	15.0	16.9		104.9	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		101.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.1	15.0	14.3	17.4	15.4
CLE	16.9	15.0	17.7	16.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	37	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-5	4	15.0	15.7	-0.73	18.0	15.3	2.76
Joe Alexander	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-6	6	16.2	15.2	0.96	16.8	16.3	0.52
Francisco Elson	28	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.07	-3	-3	0	15.2	15.5	-0.32	15.1	17.0	-1.93
Charlie Villanueva	67	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-6	6	15.3	15.7	-0.46	16.5	16.1	0.38
Charlie Bell	61	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	2	-10	15.4	15.5	-0.12	16.6	16.0	0.61
Ramon Sessions	49	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-5	4	15.1	15.7	-0.56	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Richard Jefferson	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.8	14.5	1.25	16.8	15.6	1.17
Luke Ridnour	69	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	1	-8	15.8	14.0	1.83	16.3	16.7	-0.31
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	0	-6	15.0	16.1	-1.11	15.4	18.3	-2.84

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	70	70	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-10	26	16.4	16.5	-0.08	15.8	13.9	1.86
LeBron James	81	80	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-5	16	16.1	18.8	-2.68	15.5	14.9	0.56
Anderson Varejao	43	43	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	0	6	16.1	16.7	-0.53	15.3	15.5	-0.14
Wally Szczerbiak	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.39	-4	10	-14	16.3	16.5	-0.21	14.8	16.0	-1.11
Mo Williams	64	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	6	-6	16.8	15.4	1.44	15.5	15.1	0.44
Ben Wallace	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-3	12	16.5	16.4	0.12	16.3	14.7	1.60
Daniel Gibson	46	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	12	-18	16.3	16.6	-0.27	14.5	16.3	-1.81
JJ Hickson	10	9	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	5	-4	15.4	16.5	-1.14	14.3	15.5	-1.19
Sasha Pavlovic	11	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	16.1	16.5	-0.37	15.6	15.4	0.17
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	8	-10	17.1	15.7	1.40	15.4	15.4	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.96,1	93.7%
GSW 111, MEM 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.91,1	92.8%
CHI 84, VAN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.77,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.6%