inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 111 Excitement6.9 [440] MVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): +25.1%
Memphis Grizzlies 116 Comeback1.3 [1052] LVPDorell Wright (GSW): -21.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andris Biedrins0.250,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.180.070.001582%0.333-0.08450%-0.01
Stephen Curry0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.150.160.010.021381%0.253-0.106100%0.06
Reggie Williams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.040.030.010.01558%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jeff Adrien0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.011155%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00383%0.092-0.0800%0.00
Monta Ellis0.000,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0,0,00.02-0.000.011855%0.063-0.05683%-0.00
Charlie Bell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Rodney Carney-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.0030%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Jeremy Lin-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.060.0040%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21-0.08-0.14-0.001137%-0.142-0.075100%0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.250.250.140.110.001470%0.281-0.035100%0.07
Rudy Gay0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.04-0.021762%0.191-0.02683%0.01
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.00583%0.152-0.082100%0.02
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.01775%0.0700.002100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.040.08-0.01837%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Xavier Henry0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,00.000.01-0.02-0.01870%0.134-0.134100%0.02
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.01442%-0.0100.00475%-0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02-0.020.01-0.04-0.011058%0.093-0.11450%-0.02
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00217%-0.0400.00250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.33.431.418.427.63.541.8149.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +42.1%
MEM +6.1%
GSW -5.0%
MEM +8.2%
GSW -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMEMNBAGSWMEMNBA
this game15.513.915.5113.3118.4105.7
season14.815.5106.6106.1
opponent15.515.2103.7109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.415.916.514.215.5
MEM15.914.113.512.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Adrien5656-0.08-0.420.33-0.266-111717.512.84.6315.312.03.30
Charlie Bell22-0.10-0.400.29-0.02-3-2-119.515.44.109.514.0-4.50
Stephen Curry6162-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-4314.716.8-2.1415.211.73.54
Vladimir Radmanovic2122-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-1-316.115.30.8411.014.7-3.69
Jeremy Lin2323-0.21-0.290.07-0.13-3-2-116.515.21.3011.214.7-3.57
Rodney Carney1717-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-83-1117.615.02.6213.514.0-0.53
Monta Ellis8080-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.322-7915.017.7-2.7513.913.70.23
Andris Biedrins8887-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.332-7914.622.8-8.1514.013.40.61
Dan Gadzuric1516-0.28-0.22-0.060.16-1510-2516.915.21.6414.613.80.78
Reggie Williams3937-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-3114.716.0-1.3112.914.5-1.55
Dorell Wright8888-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.411-6715.217.5-2.2513.914.1-0.21

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Randolph75760.63-0.130.760.1616-112714.013.60.3915.914.01.85
O.J. Mayo58580.62-0.120.730.359-41312.715.7-3.0714.616.7-2.15
Rudy Gay78790.460.040.420.267-2914.411.82.6515.117.0-1.89
Mike Conley70700.340.160.170.1950514.612.12.4715.315.9-0.63
Tony Allen35370.200.30-0.100.32-49-1311.315.3-3.9914.416.1-1.73
Greivis Vasquez28280.160.34-0.170.1605-512.114.6-2.4715.915.30.63
Darrell Arthur45430.110.39-0.280.29-611-1713.214.5-1.2315.415.5-0.15
Marc Gasol56540.060.44-0.39-0.0332115.112.42.6716.714.02.64
Xavier Henry34340.020.48-0.460.0205-516.512.53.9216.614.91.65
Sam Young1111-0.090.59-0.680.06-510-1513.214.0-0.8214.615.6-0.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 87, SAS 890.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.85,0.84,194.6%
CHI 91, BOS 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.84,193.9%
CHA 94, UTA 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,193.8%