NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	8.2 [209]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +75.9%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	4.8 [449]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -25.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.01	23	63%	0.41	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
Hakim Warrick	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	6	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	58%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Darrell Arthur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	14	54%	0.08	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Darko Milicic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.13	0.00	-0.11	0.02	11	56%	0.13	3	-0.26	5	100%	0.04
Mike Conley	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	6	17%	-0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.43,0.43,0.76	0.76	0.24	0.54	0.02	13	84%	0.76	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	8	62%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	13	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.09	-0.01	10	65%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.04
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.37,-0.26	-0.26	-0.13	-0.13	0.00	11	44%	-0.01	6	-0.25	5	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	30.3	15.4	30.5	2.4	37.4	144.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +56.0%

MEM -2.6%

MEM -15.6%

PHX +8.8%

PHX +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	14.1	15.5	103.0	109.2	106.4
season	16.1	14.1		101.7	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.2	15.4	17.4	13.8	15.2
PHX	15.2	13.4	12.1	15.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	43	43	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-15	25	14.3	15.9	-1.62	15.1	13.3	1.80
Darko Milicic	35	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-1	-3	13.6	16.0	-2.39	15.5	13.3	2.20
Hakim Warrick	49	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.39	11	-16	27	14.7	15.7	-1.03	14.2	13.9	0.29
Marc Gasol	58	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-8	11	15.7	14.5	1.21	13.7	14.6	-0.90
Quinton Ross	48	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-3	1	14.6	15.7	-1.06	13.7	14.4	-0.77
Mike Conley	50	50	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	7	-19	16.2	14.1	2.08	13.5	14.7	-1.23
Darrell Arthur	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	9	-23	15.7	14.7	1.03	13.8	14.3	-0.53
O.J. Mayo	90	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	15.2	14.7	0.56	14.2	12.7	1.43
Rudy Gay	72	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.23	-14	9	-23	15.7	13.9	1.76	13.7	15.1	-1.38

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	72	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.23	17	-12	29	14.6	12.7	1.89	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Steve Nash	72	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-8	21	13.6	15.2	-1.59	15.7	13.8	1.92
Boris Diaw	62	61	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-1	7	13.5	15.1	-1.66	15.3	14.9	0.45
Raja Bell	69	70	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-7	19	13.9	14.4	-0.50	15.4	14.6	0.83
Matt Barnes	52	50	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-9	23	13.4	14.8	-1.40	16.0	14.3	1.67
Leandro Barbosa	45	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.37	-7	12	-19	15.0	13.3	1.74	14.2	16.1	-1.90
Robin Lopez	21	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.12	-9	14	-23	12.9	14.4	-1.53	15.2	15.2	0.04
Goran Dragic	26	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	13	-21	15.2	13.6	1.59	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Shaquille O'Neal	43	45	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	9	-13	14.7	13.6	1.05	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Grant Hill	31	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	16	-27	13.8	14.2	-0.42	14.8	15.3	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.23,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	90.4%
ATL 88, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.76,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.58,1	89.7%
NYK 98, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.78,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.57,0.42,1	89.7%