inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 99 Excitement2.8 [1206] MVPChris Quinn (MIA): +10.6%
San Antonio Spurs 83 Comeback1.2 [333] LVPMichael Finley (SAS): -7.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Quinn0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.14-0.000.03983%0.1100.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.000.001067%0.0910.0010100%0.03
Dwyane Wade0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.080.10-0.000.022559%0.113-0.03683%0.01
Daequan Cook0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.03862%0.0300.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.05868%0.041-0.02683%0.01
Shawn Marion-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03729%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Blount-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02520%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.010.031659%0.092-0.04580%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041064%0.032-0.03250%0.00
Matt Bonner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02367%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.000.05757%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03333%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Desmon Farmer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.06928%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.02540%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.000.081750%-0.042-0.03250%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.000.01733%-0.051-0.02450%-0.01
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.12-0.00-0.0580%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.83.632.118.529.22.832.0145.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +33.7%
MIA +5.7%
SAS -1.3%
MIA +12.5%
SAS -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIASASNBAMIASASNBA
this game17.315.515.5113.893.3106.4
season16.016.4105.9106.6
opponent15.715.7103.2105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.716.917.020.617.3
SAS15.917.415.013.715.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade67680.52-0.020.53-0.1924-83216.619.3-2.7114.917.3-2.36
Shawn Marion71730.51-0.010.52-0.1623-73017.117.9-0.8215.416.0-0.63
Udonis Haslem69720.450.050.40-0.1420-42416.619.9-3.3815.913.91.98
Mario Chalmers58590.370.130.23-0.101601616.119.6-3.5315.615.30.23
Daequan Cook49510.260.240.030.09610-418.515.62.9015.016.2-1.18
Michael Beasley58580.230.27-0.050.17214-1216.319.2-2.9716.214.21.93
Chris Quinn29300.130.37-0.230.13016-1619.616.13.5315.315.6-0.23
Mark Blount18170.050.45-0.400.17-420-2419.916.63.3813.915.9-1.98
Yakhouba Diawara1617-0.020.52-0.530.19-723-3020.216.63.6617.415.02.38

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kurt Thomas23230.04-0.540.59-0.198-243214.315.9-1.5318.716.71.95
George Hill37370.00-0.500.50-0.269-253415.215.7-0.5518.416.42.03
Anthony Tolliver3839-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-212614.116.5-2.3619.615.44.21
Bruce Bowen2220-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-131016.815.11.7118.516.91.67
Desmon Farmer5353-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-171814.117.5-3.4317.516.90.58
Tony Parker2019-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-1-1417.614.92.7914.218.1-3.91
Ime Udoka5351-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.02-9-7-215.515.5-0.0316.917.8-0.88
Fabricio Oberto3130-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-14-2-1215.815.30.5516.817.5-0.76
Tim Duncan5251-0.39-0.11-0.280.17-193-2216.414.12.3116.118.9-2.82
Roger Mason Jr.7169-0.45-0.05-0.410.10-193-2215.913.91.9316.619.9-3.38
Michael Finley4543-0.550.05-0.610.15-248-3215.615.40.1517.117.4-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 110, SAS 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
ATL 95, GSW 790.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
BOS 101, VAN 770.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%