NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	7.5 [299]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): +46.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	115		Comeback	1.7 [692]		LVP	Jason Smith (PHI): -34.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.16,0.16,0.36,0.36,0.32	0.06	0.23	-0.02	21	57%	0.39	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.11	0.01	12	69%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.09	0.05	21	60%	0.21	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	11	60%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.29,-0.34	-0.07	-0.27	-0.00	8	25%	-0.34	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.23

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.15	0.34	0.01	14	80%	0.52	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.16	-0.03	14	68%	0.31	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.18	0.00	12	58%	0.28	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	8	63%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	-0.00	0.06	18	64%	0.14	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.0	30.0	15.8	25.8	2.5	31.4	132.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +43.1%

CHA +35.4%

PHI -19.4%

PHI -9.6%

CHA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.7	17.7	15.4	122.5	129.2	105.7
season	15.2	15.8		104.0	103.1
opponent	15.1	16.2		107.8	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.8	15.6	14.2	12.1	14.7
CHA	18.4	15.1	16.4	21.6	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	10	10	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-10	14	10.9	15.1	-4.23	17.8	17.7	0.10
Andre Miller	44	45	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-11	16	14.7	14.6	0.15	18.3	17.1	1.27
Kevin Ollie	4	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-5	4	15.7	14.6	1.15	10.4	18.1	-7.74
Willie Green	66	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.47	13	-19	32	13.8	17.2	-3.46	18.3	16.0	2.30
Samuel Dalembert	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	3	-12	18.5	12.9	5.56	16.3	18.3	-2.02
Andre Iguodala	66	65	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.36	8	-14	22	14.3	15.6	-1.23	18.7	15.1	3.59
Reggie Evans	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.19	-13	7	-20	18.0	13.4	4.58	14.5	18.9	-4.34
Shavlik Randolph	13	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	4	-14	16.4	14.4	2.03	18.5	17.6	0.85
Thaddeus Young	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.52	7	-13	20	13.4	18.0	-4.58	18.9	14.5	4.34
Rodney Carney	23	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	8	-22	15.6	14.3	1.23	15.1	18.7	-3.59
Jason Smith	50	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-5	4	13.5	16.2	-2.72	18.5	16.7	1.74
Lou Williams	52	51	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.13	-19	13	-32	15.0	14.1	0.88	16.9	18.7	-1.80

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	84	83	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.41	9	-3	12	17.3	24.2	-6.88	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Matt Carroll	76	78	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-6	18	18.1	15.4	2.72	15.7	7.4	8.32
Ryan Hollins	33	34	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-4	14	20.8	15.9	4.90	13.7	15.2	-1.48
Emeka Okafor	58	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-4	14	16.0	20.9	-4.90	15.6	12.9	2.73
Earl Boykins	39	38	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	1	4	17.7	17.7	0.02	12.8	16.0	-3.20
Raymond Felton	65	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	10	-14	17.5	18.2	-0.63	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Jared Dudley	51	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	13	-20	15.9	20.1	-4.23	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Nazr Mohammed	39	39	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	11	-16	20.3	15.7	4.67	14.5	14.8	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 111, CLE 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.9,0.88,0.57,0.71,1	91.1%
CHI 95, NOK 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.98,1	91.0%
HOU 113, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.73,1	90.9%