NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	6.9 [475]		MVP	Chris Paul (HOU): +47.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	115		Comeback	1.1 [573]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -19.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.47	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.47	0.32	0.20	0.05	19	76%	0.47	0	0.00	12	100%	0.10
Eric Gordon	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.22	0.02	0.01	15	79%	0.23	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.2,0.2	0.01	0.21	0.02	9	50%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	45%	0.06	1	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2	-0.01	-0.14	0.05	16	50%	-0.11	4	-0.09	14	86%	0.05

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.36	0.36	0.12	0.21	-0.03	11	83%	0.39	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.12	0.03	12	70%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	3	133%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	22	52%	0.17	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.05
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	12	52%	0.01	5	-0.15	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	30.6	14.7	28.1	3.5	40.5	146.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +34.1%

HOU -10.3%

NOP +28.5%

HOU -2.7%

NOP +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOP	NBA	HOU	NOP	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	14.7	110.8	111.7	107.5
season	14.6	13.6		112.8	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.8		107.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.3	15.8	13.3	13.1	13.6
NOP	14.4	12.5	14.4	16.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	51	51	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.36	17	-19	36	12.2	15.0	-2.80	16.7	12.3	4.38
PJ Tucker	63	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.32	9	-11	20	13.8	13.3	0.43	15.2	13.5	1.67
Eric Gordon	70	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.56	11	-13	24	13.5	13.7	-0.22	15.0	13.4	1.58
Chris Paul	71	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.26	1	-3	4	13.3	14.4	-1.09	15.1	13.1	1.99
Clint Capela	64	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-3	4	13.6	13.6	0.07	14.6	14.3	0.28
Nene	21	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	5	-12	13.8	13.5	0.27	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Ryan Anderson	32	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	18	-38	14.5	13.2	1.31	12.7	15.3	-2.67
Trevor Ariza	64	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	8	-18	13.7	13.4	0.37	13.4	16.2	-2.75
James Harden	74	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.28	-12	10	-22	14.2	12.0	2.25	13.1	18.1	-5.02

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	61	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	3	-4	15.1	13.6	1.56	13.2	14.2	-1.05
DeMarcus Cousins	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	-14	30	14.2	15.0	-0.83	14.5	12.2	2.30
E'Twaun Moore	69	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-5	12	13.2	17.1	-3.96	14.4	12.1	2.26
Jrue Holiday	81	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	2	-2	13.8	17.1	-3.36	13.8	12.9	0.94
Anthony Davis	81	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	6	-10	14.2	15.5	-1.22	13.4	14.1	-0.69
Rajon Rondo	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	-3	8	12.8	15.5	-2.65	14.1	13.3	0.73
Dante Cunningham	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.05	3	-1	4	15.2	14.2	1.05	12.4	14.1	-1.70
Jameer Nelson	22	22	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	0	2	17.1	13.8	3.36	12.9	13.8	-0.94
Ian Clark	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	10	-18	17.6	13.3	4.25	11.9	14.3	-2.33
DeAndre Liggins	39	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.21	-10	12	-22	15.7	13.8	1.89	13.6	13.6	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.74,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.73,1	93.8%
DAL 111, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.74,1	93.4%
PHX 94, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.72,1	93.2%