NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	6.4 [506]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +20.8%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	3.1 [395]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -23.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.09	-0.02	16	65%	0.24	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.03	12	62%	0.09	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	79%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Carney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.05	9	55%	0.09	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	22	35%	-0.12	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.20	0.06	0.13	-0.00	18	58%	0.25	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	11	79%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.07	0.03	14	67%	0.20	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	63%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	10	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	27.1	15.8	27.2	2.5	29.2	126.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.5%

WAS +4.8%

WAS +18.4%

WAS +3.0%

WAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	16.9	15.4	103.3	119.8	105.7
season	15.2	16.1		104.0	106.8
opponent	15.5	16.2		107.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.0	16.8	13.0	18.9	14.9
WAS	17.3	15.9	16.4	18.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	44	44	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-21	26	13.8	16.0	-2.14	17.7	16.1	1.55
Kevin Ollie	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	8.0	15.0	-7.01	20.0	16.8	3.16
Lou Amundson	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	8.0	15.0	-7.01	20.0	16.8	3.16
Reggie Evans	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-15	14	13.7	15.4	-1.66	14.0	17.9	-3.97
Andre Miller	79	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-8	0	14.6	17.5	-2.98	17.5	12.5	4.93
Samuel Dalembert	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-7	-2	15.3	13.9	1.40	17.7	14.0	3.68
Rodney Carney	27	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-8	0	14.3	15.2	-0.86	13.9	18.1	-4.14
Thaddeus Young	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-8	0	15.3	14.1	1.28	18.4	13.7	4.74
Jason Smith	12	12	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-3	-10	17.7	14.5	3.25	12.8	17.5	-4.66
Andre Iguodala	85	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-2	-12	14.9	15.8	-0.92	16.7	19.2	-2.46
Lou Williams	48	50	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.05	-24	8	-32	16.1	13.5	2.60	16.1	17.8	-1.64

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	49	49	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.00	21	-5	26	15.4	18.6	-3.28	16.5	13.1	3.37
Darius Songaila	73	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	0	16	17.5	14.4	3.10	14.6	16.4	-1.89
Antawn Jamison	79	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	0	16	17.0	16.2	0.82	15.0	14.4	0.60
Andray Blatche	35	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	7	2	14.6	18.3	-3.66	17.0	13.5	3.49
DeShawn Stevenson	63	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	7	2	17.5	15.5	1.99	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Roger Mason Jr.	33	35	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	7	2	14.8	18.1	-3.33	16.3	14.1	2.17
Brendan Haywood	50	50	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	12	-8	18.6	14.7	3.91	13.9	16.2	-2.32
Antonio Daniels	54	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	20	-24	17.8	15.5	2.30	12.9	17.7	-4.85
Dominic McGuire	19	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	16	-16	16.5	17.0	-0.51	16.0	14.6	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 90, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.9%
DAL 87, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.63,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	92.8%
MIL 97, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.95,1,1,1,1	92.3%