NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	5.6 [668]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +31.8%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.2 [510]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (TOR): -10.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.01	0.04	12	85%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jamario Moon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.01	0.04	11	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	16	62%	-0.04
Andrea Bargnani	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	17	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.15	-0.02	21	64%	0.36	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	75%	0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	-0.00	22	58%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	33.2	15.5	26.2	2.5	26.5	128.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +51.2%

NJN +2.6%

TOR -0.4%

TOR -4.3%

NJN +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.4	100.0	110.0	105.7
season	15.6	15.4		108.5	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		107.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.4	16.2	14.7	18.7	16.1
NJN	14.0	15.8	15.3	19.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	16	16	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-13	17	16.7	15.9	0.80	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Rasho Nesterovic	72	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-8	7	15.9	16.7	-0.79	15.6	17.6	-2.01
T.J. Ford	54	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-4	-1	15.6	16.9	-1.29	15.4	16.7	-1.22
Carlos Delfino	33	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-5	1	15.6	16.4	-0.71	16.1	15.8	0.33
Jamario Moon	65	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	15.8	16.9	-1.10	16.2	15.0	1.22
Andrea Bargnani	29	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	16.8	15.8	1.04	17.2	15.3	1.94
Jose Calderon	36	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-5	1	16.9	15.6	1.29	16.7	15.4	1.22
Anthony Parker	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	2	-13	16.5	15.1	1.37	15.8	16.3	-0.58
Chris Bosh	79	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	3	-15	16.0	16.9	-0.93	15.8	16.8	-1.06

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	84	83	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.24	12	-3	15	16.2	11.5	4.73	16.2	14.4	1.80
Stromile Swift	49	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	1	7	17.1	14.5	2.57	16.0	16.2	-0.19
Trenton Hassell	33	35	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	3	3	17.8	14.8	2.92	17.7	15.1	2.61
Marcus Williams	28	29	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	4	1	16.9	15.5	1.48	17.3	15.5	1.80
Bostjan Nachbar	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	5	-1	15.7	16.0	-0.27	14.9	16.9	-2.03
Richard Jefferson	71	69	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	6	-3	15.8	16.4	-0.65	15.6	17.8	-2.24
Devin Harris	62	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.01	4	5	-1	15.5	16.9	-1.48	15.5	17.3	-1.80
Sean Williams	22	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	8	-7	15.5	16.0	-0.48	14.4	16.6	-2.17
Josh Boone	22	23	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.04	3	6	-3	13.9	16.6	-2.65	18.0	15.4	2.57
Nenad Krstic	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	8	-7	14.3	16.8	-2.47	15.8	16.3	-0.48
Maurice Ager	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	11	-13	13.7	16.3	-2.59	17.5	15.9	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 83, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
PHI 90, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.78,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
ORL 78, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%