NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	79		Excitement	4.7 [855]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +5.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	66		Comeback	1.4 [1053]		LVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): -27.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	77%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.06	0.02	-0.09	27	43%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	-0.00	-0.04	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	-0.01	-0.05	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Luther Head	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.02	-0.05	8	30%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	17	31%	-0.15	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.26	-0.07	-0.05	17	12%	-0.16	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	28.2	15.4	25.4	2.7	24.2	122.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +60.2%

SEA -16.7%

SEA -18.5%

HOU +22.5%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	17.9	16.2	15.4	92.9	78.6	105.7
season	16.2	14.5		104.6	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		107.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	14.8	18.3	23.1	17.9
SEA	16.1	18.0	16.9	13.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	76	75	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.03	19	-6	25	17.4	22.2	-4.87	16.0	17.7	-1.64
Shane Battier	73	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-3	19	17.8	18.1	-0.25	16.5	14.9	1.53
Bobby Jackson	58	58	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	17.2	19.4	-2.20	16.4	15.8	0.63
Luis Scola	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	2	9	17.1	20.0	-2.93	16.2	16.2	-0.05
Dikembe Mutombo	30	29	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-2	17	18.1	17.7	0.35	16.0	16.3	-0.36
Charles Hayes	27	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	9	-5	16.1	18.7	-2.58	17.7	15.5	2.21
Carl Landry	27	27	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	9	-5	18.4	17.6	0.73	17.0	15.8	1.23
Aaron Brooks	27	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	19.4	17.2	2.20	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Loren Woods	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	44.0	17.6	26.44	0.0	16.2	-16.20
Steve Novak	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	44.0	17.6	26.44	4.0	16.3	-12.35
Michael Harris	9	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	17	-21	22.2	17.4	4.87	19.4	15.9	3.51
Luther Head	33	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	22	-31	18.6	17.4	1.25	14.4	17.4	-3.06

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	28	27	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-18	23	15.2	16.7	-1.43	18.4	17.6	0.79
Ronald Dupree	4	5	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-19	25	14.2	16.3	-2.05	25.8	17.4	8.42
Adrian Griffin	49	49	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-20	27	16.0	16.4	-0.39	17.6	18.2	-0.61
Luke Ridnour	34	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-19	25	15.2	16.9	-1.67	20.3	16.3	3.99
Donyell Marshall	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-17	21	12.3	17.0	-4.71	24.5	16.3	8.17
Jeff Green	48	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-2	-9	16.3	16.0	0.31	18.5	17.1	1.34
Nick Collison	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	1	-15	17.6	11.7	5.84	16.4	22.8	-6.45
Johan Petro	61	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.04	-21	8	-29	16.1	16.4	-0.26	17.5	18.8	-1.31
Earl Watson	55	56	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.07	-26	13	-39	17.3	14.1	3.21	16.1	21.4	-5.33
Kevin Durant	62	64	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.09	-21	8	-29	15.9	17.0	-1.08	17.3	19.5	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, VAN 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
CHI 98, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%