NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	5.2 [754]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +15.6%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.0 [1290]		LVP	Fred Jones (NYK): -9.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Jeffries	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	16	57%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	18	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	67%	0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.06	17	63%	0.07	3	-0.09	7	86%	-0.00
Malik Rose	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Fred Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.03	-0.05	17	66%	0.26	5	-0.11	10	80%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	11	75%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	29.4	17.4	33.4	2.4	29.3	138.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +52.8%

TOR +2.2%

TOR +0.2%

NYK -5.4%

TOR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.4	100.0	108.4	105.7
season	15.7	15.6		103.1	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	14.6	16.2	11.5	14.5
TOR	14.9	16.0	14.4	17.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	18.6	14.1	4.46	13.9	16.0	-2.10
Malik Rose	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.00	-4	-4	0	17.8	14.1	3.67	14.4	16.0	-1.56
Renaldo Balkman	15	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-5	2	15.7	14.3	1.45	12.4	16.5	-4.12
Jared Jeffries	73	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	13.9	16.7	-2.82	16.5	13.8	2.71
Wilson Chandler	33	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	3	-14	16.1	13.7	2.37	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Fred Jones	66	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-5	2	13.7	16.3	-2.63	15.9	15.5	0.44
David Lee	88	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-8	8	14.5	14.7	-0.21	16.1	10.8	5.30
Jamal Crawford	90	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-4	0	14.3	19.0	-4.73	15.9	13.5	2.40
Quentin Richardson	91	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	0	-8	14.4	18.0	-3.64	15.9	14.2	1.62

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	93	94	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	1	6	15.8	17.5	-1.74	14.4	25.0	-10.60
Jose Calderon	48	47	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	15.5	16.1	-0.65	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Rasho Nesterovic	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	1	6	16.4	15.1	1.33	15.1	13.8	1.28
Jamario Moon	42	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	2	4	14.8	16.6	-1.82	16.2	13.2	3.01
Carlos Delfino	53	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	6	-4	16.6	14.8	1.82	13.2	16.2	-3.01
Anthony Parker	68	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	8	-8	15.4	16.7	-1.26	14.7	14.0	0.76
Jason Kapono	15	15	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	-2	12	13.9	16.1	-2.22	16.3	14.2	2.16
T.J. Ford	59	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	11	-14	16.9	13.9	3.03	14.4	14.7	-0.38
Andrea Bargnani	45	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	6	-4	15.2	16.4	-1.18	14.1	14.9	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 78, SEA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAC 90, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CHI 63, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%