NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	78		Excitement	4.8 [841]		MVP	Horace Grant (SEA): +7.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	89		Comeback	1.0 [916]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -17.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	19	68%	0.09	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	70%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	-0.04	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	7	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	8	20%	-0.13	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	64%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	9	50%	-0.01	5	-0.09	12	58%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	0.05	6	54%	-0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	-0.02	-0.08	24	38%	-0.10	3	-0.03	12	58%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	69.3	1.7	30.2	21.8	29.3	2.6	36.6	191.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +19.4%

SEA +12.0%

SEA +21.5%

UTA -8.9%

SEA +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	17.7	15.1	15.2	89.7	100.0	101.7
season	16.3	14.9		104.5	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		102.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	21.0	18.3	17.1	14.8	17.7
SEA	13.6	16.0	17.1	14.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Lewis	24	25	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	17.1	17.9	-0.79	18.1	13.9	4.20
Greg Ostertag	43	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-13	15	15.9	19.4	-3.55	14.2	16.0	-1.73
Jeff Hornacek	57	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-11	11	16.4	20.1	-3.73	14.6	16.0	-1.33
Jacque Vaughn	8	9	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-4	-3	21.5	17.3	4.23	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Olden Polynice	28	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-2	-7	19.2	16.9	2.35	14.7	15.3	-0.66
Armen Gilliam	37	37	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-7	3	18.9	16.7	2.25	16.1	14.4	1.77
Howard Eisley	31	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	20.1	16.3	3.84	16.1	14.6	1.50
John Stockton	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-4	-3	17.1	20.0	-2.87	14.7	16.7	-1.96
Karl Malone	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	0	-11	17.4	18.4	-0.96	15.3	14.5	0.80
Bryon Russell	70	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.09	-16	5	-21	17.9	16.6	1.25	14.5	17.5	-3.00

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	74	73	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.09	18	-7	25	14.8	16.7	-1.96	17.1	20.6	-3.56
Gary Payton	89	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	15.1	0.0	15.10	17.7	0.0	17.66
Ruben Patterson	37	36	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	2	7	17.3	13.5	3.76	18.5	17.1	1.44
Rashard Lewis	69	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	4	3	14.7	16.5	-1.87	17.2	19.2	-1.99
Horace Grant	80	79	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	7	-3	15.2	14.0	1.23	17.3	21.5	-4.23
Brent Barry	44	46	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	5	1	13.5	16.7	-3.26	17.3	18.0	-0.74
Greg Foster	21	18	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	7	-3	15.6	14.9	0.68	19.9	17.1	2.89
Shammond Williams	28	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	11	-11	15.8	14.8	1.05	18.1	17.5	0.65
Jelani McCoy	3	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	15	-19	16.3	15.1	1.28	29.3	17.2	12.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DET 79, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NYK 95, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%