NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	96		Excitement	10.0 [58]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIA): +48.6%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	3.0 [551]		LVP	Chris Quinn (MIA): -33.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.55,0.69,0.69,0.57,0.49,0.49	0.16	0.34	0.01	15	82%	0.73	4	-0.25	4	75%	-0.03
Kasib Powell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	10	64%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephane Lasme	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	54%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Joel Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alexander Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.09	0.01	21	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Blake Ahearn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Quinn	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.00	13	26%	-0.26	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.00	21	50%	0.22	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.07
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	16	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.25,-0.17,-0.08,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	19	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	29.4	16.6	22.1	2.5	37.0	1.7	15.3	149.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -18.4%

NYK +5.3%

NYK +66.0%

NYK +1.6%

MIA -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.4	99.0	104.0	105.7
season	16.0	15.7		99.0	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.4		109.9	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	18.4	16.0	14.7	17.8	13.0	16.4
NYK	14.4	16.0	18.0	15.8	16.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	77	80	0.58	-1.08	1.67	0.20	13	-20	33	15.6	19.4	-3.84	16.5	14.5	1.95
Earl Barron	34	34	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-8	9	17.6	15.7	1.95	15.4	16.5	-1.14
Chris Quinn	75	78	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-13	19	15.5	19.3	-3.78	15.6	17.9	-2.23
Joel Anthony	42	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-13	19	14.3	17.9	-3.60	16.9	15.4	1.48
Mark Blount	49	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	17.2	15.5	1.77	15.4	16.7	-1.33
Alexander Johnson	10	11	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	20.8	15.8	4.96	16.4	16.1	0.30
Ricky Davis	85	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	0	-7	16.2	17.4	-1.22	15.8	18.2	-2.45
Blake Ahearn	23	23	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	8	-23	18.7	15.6	3.07	16.6	15.9	0.66
Kasib Powell	39	38	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	10	-27	17.1	15.8	1.26	15.6	16.4	-0.76
Stephane Lasme	51	51	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.63	-11	4	-15	16.5	16.1	0.42	17.2	14.9	2.34

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Jones	61	58	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-3	13	16.8	14.9	1.87	15.6	17.5	-1.99
Jamal Crawford	79	76	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-6	19	15.9	17.0	-1.13	16.5	15.7	0.87
Jared Jeffries	56	54	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	0	7	15.9	16.4	-0.48	16.9	15.7	1.21
David Lee	75	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	2	3	15.9	16.9	-1.02	16.8	15.2	1.60
Zach Randolph	52	50	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	3	1	16.1	16.1	-0.05	16.6	16.1	0.43
Wilson Chandler	56	58	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	9	-11	15.3	17.1	-1.84	17.2	15.1	2.17
Renaldo Balkman	42	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	6	-5	16.6	15.7	0.90	15.9	16.7	-0.79
Randolph Morris	39	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.08	1	6	-5	16.2	16.0	0.17	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Mardy Collins	35	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	16.8	15.7	1.08	15.3	17.0	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.99,0.54,0.39,0.64,0.55,0.99,1	90.3%
GSW 82, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	89.4%
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	89.2%