NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	9.9 [71]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +13.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	1.6 [771]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -31.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Oliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	15	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Danny Fortson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.15,0.21,0.15,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.00	17	32%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.07	-0.17	0.00	17	53%	-0.13	3	-0.10	13	46%	-0.15
Erick Dampier	-0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	14	45%	-0.19	2	-0.05	14	50%	-0.18
Gilbert Arenas	-0.31	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.25	-0.11	-0.04	16	26%	-0.17	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.04,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	5	69%	0.24	1	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	64%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.09,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.12	-0.04	40	50%	0.03	1	-0.09	10	80%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	13	46%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	0.02	-0.01	12	25%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	11	32%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	27.0	16.0	30.1	2.5	32.6	2.6	19.5	155.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.2%

LAL +22.0%

GSW -14.1%

GSW -1.4%

LAL +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.5	87.3	92.3	101.6
season	14.6	15.4		105.3	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		102.8	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	14.2	15.5	14.7	15.7	12.6	14.8
LAL	16.4	15.1	16.6	16.3	15.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-8	9	14.9	14.8	0.08	15.9	16.1	-0.17
Adonal Foyle	28	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-8	9	16.7	14.1	2.62	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Oscar Torres	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	2.0	14.9	-12.94	9.0	16.1	-7.12
Dean Oliver	2	3	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-1	-5	8.5	14.9	-6.44	16.0	16.0	-0.05
Danny Fortson	33	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	17.2	13.7	3.59	14.6	16.7	-2.07
Troy Murphy	69	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-5	3	13.7	17.2	-3.59	16.7	14.6	2.07
Gilbert Arenas	100	101	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-6	5	14.9	8.5	6.44	16.0	16.0	0.05
Jason Richardson	84	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-5	3	14.8	14.8	0.04	16.3	14.8	1.53
Antawn Jamison	96	97	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	3	-13	14.8	15.5	-0.73	15.9	18.4	-2.55
Erick Dampier	73	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	2	-11	14.3	16.1	-1.85	16.3	15.4	0.83

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	40	40	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-10	27	13.8	17.4	-3.61	16.4	13.8	2.65
Brian Shaw	69	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-3	13	15.7	16.8	-1.09	14.9	14.5	0.40
Kobe Bryant	90	87	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	2	3	16.4	14.0	2.37	14.2	18.1	-3.89
Derek Fisher	60	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	3	1	16.0	16.1	-0.11	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Samaki Walker	87	84	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	7	-7	16.5	13.6	2.94	14.3	17.4	-3.13
Robert Horry	56	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.33	-7	14	-21	16.8	15.1	1.71	15.0	14.6	0.41
Kareem Rush	16	18	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	7	-7	14.9	16.2	-1.31	16.9	14.4	2.59
Rick Fox	77	75	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	5	-3	16.3	15.4	0.87	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	8	-9	11.0	16.1	-5.10	0.0	14.8	-14.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.73,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.79,0.84,0.99,0.54,0.39,0.64,0.55,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, NYK 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.77,0.91,1	90.3%
OKC 113, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.96,1	90.0%
WAS 108, VAN 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.92,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	89.5%