NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	91		Excitement	6.8 [419]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +36.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.2 [812]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -15.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.44,0.36	0.21	0.17	0.01	24	67%	0.39	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jermareo Davidson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	14	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
Jared Dudley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	13	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Gerald Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	13	37%	-0.05	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.03	24	52%	0.18	1	-0.02	16	62%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.01	4	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.04	0.01	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.01	11	67%	0.09	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	12	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.4	14.7	28.1	1.8	36.1	135.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +8.1%

CLE +14.8%

CLE +29.6%

CHA -3.1%

CLE +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CLE	NBA	CHA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	16.6	15.4	102.2	110.1	105.7
season	15.8	16.4		103.1	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.1	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	15.4	17.5	14.5	15.7
CLE	15.3	18.1	13.8	19.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	18	18	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-9	11	14.7	16.0	-1.32	20.2	15.7	4.42
Nazr Mohammed	53	55	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-14	21	16.0	15.2	0.79	17.3	15.6	1.75
Jermareo Davidson	4	4	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-8	9	15.7	15.7	0.03	22.0	16.4	5.61
Derek Anderson	12	14	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-13	19	13.6	16.1	-2.47	21.1	15.8	5.26
Ryan Hollins	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-6	5	14.7	15.8	-1.09	17.0	16.6	0.39
Jared Dudley	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-8	9	15.1	16.2	-1.17	18.4	15.3	3.06
Matt Carroll	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	3	-13	17.0	14.9	2.12	14.6	17.9	-3.37
Gerald Wallace	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-7	7	15.3	16.6	-1.24	17.5	14.8	2.74
Jason Richardson	76	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	4	-15	16.0	14.2	1.74	15.7	21.5	-5.77
Raymond Felton	71	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	2	-11	16.0	14.7	1.32	15.7	20.2	-4.42
Emeka Okafor	70	69	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.13	-21	14	-35	15.7	15.6	0.11	15.1	21.8	-6.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	79	79	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.23	17	-10	27	16.1	21.0	-4.91	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	58	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-7	21	15.9	18.1	-2.23	16.3	14.5	1.84
Ben Wallace	54	53	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-3	13	15.3	18.8	-3.51	16.1	15.2	0.83
Delonte West	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	0	7	15.5	19.4	-3.88	16.1	14.8	1.34
Sasha Pavlovic	40	39	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	-3	13	14.2	18.6	-4.34	17.3	14.5	2.83
Damon Jones	26	26	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	7	-7	19.4	15.5	3.88	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Joe Smith	35	36	0.06	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	10	-13	18.8	15.3	3.51	15.2	16.1	-0.83
Devin Brown	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	13	-19	19.0	14.4	4.61	14.2	17.2	-2.97
Anderson Varejao	31	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	14	-21	18.1	15.9	2.23	14.5	16.3	-1.84
Wally Szczerbiak	16	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	14	-21	18.9	16.1	2.80	16.0	15.7	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,1	93.3%
NYK 105, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.84,0.85,1	93.2%
ORL 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.9,0.9,0.94,1,1	92.9%