NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	6.0 [629]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): +27.1%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.5 [1041]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -11.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	68%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	17	66%	0.21	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	14	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Jennings	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devyn Marble	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mario Hezonja	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	9	42%	-0.01	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	15	38%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.20	0.06	-0.01	12	79%	0.27	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.02	6	85%	0.15	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	11	73%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	15	65%	0.15	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	18	58%	0.13	4	-0.10	12	83%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	11	13%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.5	29.3	15.5	23.4	1.7	31.0	123.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.9%

BOS +14.1%

BOS +5.2%

ORL -8.8%

BOS +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	14.9	98.0	110.3	105.1
season	14.6	13.9		103.6	104.5
opponent	15.0	14.9		101.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	14.5	14.6	13.9	14.7
BOS	12.9	13.7	14.8	18.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devyn Marble	14	13	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-15	19	15.4	14.6	0.81	14.0	14.9	-0.93
Mario Hezonja	35	33	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.16	6	-17	23	14.5	14.9	-0.43	15.8	14.3	1.49
Ersan Ilyasova	22	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-12	13	14.4	14.8	-0.48	14.8	14.8	-0.05
Dewayne Dedmon	33	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-4	-3	15.0	14.6	0.35	13.5	15.4	-1.95
Jason Smith	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-12	13	14.2	15.3	-1.04	16.2	13.3	2.89
Andrew Nicholson	31	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-7	3	14.3	14.9	-0.60	15.1	14.7	0.43
Elfrid Payton	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-12	13	14.2	15.7	-1.47	15.8	13.0	2.87
Brandon Jennings	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	1	-13	15.7	14.2	1.47	13.0	15.8	-2.87
Aaron Gordon	59	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	2	-15	15.4	13.7	1.65	14.2	15.7	-1.57
Victor Oladipo	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.13	-13	2	-15	14.6	15.3	-0.73	14.6	15.6	-0.95
Evan Fournier	67	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.04	-19	8	-27	14.9	14.4	0.51	14.7	15.1	-0.43

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	69	69	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.03	24	-13	37	14.1	16.5	-2.33	15.3	13.4	1.83
Amir Johnson	68	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.03	21	-10	31	14.5	15.4	-0.92	15.6	12.8	2.82
Evan Turner	65	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-9	29	14.2	16.1	-1.92	14.5	15.2	-0.62
Avery Bradley	76	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	0	11	14.7	15.1	-0.37	15.0	13.8	1.24
Kelly Olynyk	43	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	6	-1	14.6	15.0	-0.40	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Marcus Smart	55	55	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.31	-6	17	-23	15.6	13.7	1.88	14.3	15.3	-1.09
Jared Sullinger	44	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	8	-5	13.8	15.7	-1.89	15.5	14.1	1.43
Jonas Jerebko	37	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.20	-10	21	-31	16.9	13.5	3.33	14.0	15.2	-1.18
Terry Rozier	28	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.15	-13	24	-37	16.5	14.1	2.33	13.4	15.3	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.81,0.8,0.91,0.97,0.9,0.9,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 109, MIL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.99,1	94.5%
UTA 89, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
PHI 74, MIL 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.3%