NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	9.6 [77]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +63.3%
New Jersey Nets	117		Comeback	8.3 [105]		LVP	Marcus Williams (NJN): -13.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.63	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.62,0.63,0.63	0.29	0.36	0.01	19	80%	0.72	2	-0.09	13	85%	0.05
Ronnie Brewer	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	10	61%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.25,0.25,-0.02	0.08	-0.13	-0.03	12	69%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	15	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	11	41%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.27,0.57	0.57	0.12	0.44	0.00	15	73%	0.61	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.06
Josh Boone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.00	9	78%	0.23	1	-0.03	9	56%	-0.02
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.01	10	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	56%	0.08	2	-0.08	10	70%	-0.04
Sean Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	12%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	20	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	14	93%	0.09
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.5	29.7	14.8	30.4	2.4	39.3	146.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +24.1%

NJN +12.3%

NJN +29.4%

UTA -20.0%

NJN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NJN	NBA	UTA	NJN	NBA
this game	16.6	13.7	15.4	121.1	123.2	105.7
season	15.5	15.4		111.2	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.0		107.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	15.8	18.9	15.2	16.6
NJN	13.4	14.2	13.2	14.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	27	29	0.41	-0.91	1.33	-0.03	15	-17	32	17.4	16.2	1.17	15.0	13.2	1.75
CJ Miles	22	23	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.13	17	-19	36	17.0	16.5	0.50	14.3	13.6	0.79
Ronnie Price	16	18	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-9	16	17.9	16.3	1.65	13.3	13.8	-0.51
Matt Harpring	31	31	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.20	-2	0	-2	16.5	16.6	-0.03	14.3	13.5	0.81
Ronnie Brewer	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	2	-6	17.2	15.6	1.56	13.6	13.9	-0.25
Kyle Korver	49	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.52	3	-5	8	15.5	17.7	-2.19	14.2	13.3	0.85
Mehmet Okur	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	9	-20	16.8	15.8	0.99	13.5	14.4	-0.83
Deron Williams	79	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.40	-9	7	-16	16.3	17.9	-1.65	13.8	13.3	0.51
Carlos Boozer	78	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.46	-8	6	-14	16.4	17.5	-1.17	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Andrei Kirilenko	46	45	-1.03	0.53	-1.57	-0.51	-18	16	-34	16.2	16.9	-0.68	12.9	14.5	-1.59

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	73	75	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.40	10	-8	18	13.7	14.0	-0.39	16.3	17.6	-1.31
Vince Carter	81	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.36	6	-4	10	13.6	14.8	-1.22	16.8	15.5	1.25
Richard Jefferson	86	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-6	14	13.8	12.9	0.95	16.6	16.1	0.46
Bostjan Nachbar	41	40	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.56	-4	6	-10	13.9	13.6	0.32	15.6	17.3	-1.63
Josh Boone	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	1	0	13.9	13.2	0.70	16.6	16.5	0.09
DeSagana Diop	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	4	-6	13.7	13.8	-0.05	16.8	16.5	0.34
Marcus Williams	31	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	7	-12	13.7	13.8	-0.06	16.5	16.6	-0.05
Sean Williams	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	3	-4	13.1	14.0	-0.96	18.0	15.9	2.06
Stromile Swift	35	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	5	-8	14.2	13.5	0.67	16.3	16.7	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.36,0.22,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 89, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	90.2%
WAS 112, MIA 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.28,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.34,0.58,1	89.6%
MIA 102, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.41,1	89.4%