NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	3.4 [1108]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +12.4%
Orlando Magic	123		Comeback	1.0 [1246]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): -5.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.20	-0.00	0.10	13	88%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.01	0.06	9	76%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	20	61%	0.11	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.00	-0.03	17	64%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.21	0.01	0.10	8	100%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	14	60%	0.12	3	-0.03	15	67%	-0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	16	65%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	30.2	17.3	23.5	2.4	29.3	132.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +27.2%

ORL +4.1%

ORL +6.4%

ORL +11.3%

ORL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	15.4	117.9	128.1	105.7
season	15.4	15.1		104.2	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		104.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	15.5	12.8	16.1	15.0
ORL	13.5	15.2	16.0	15.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salim Stoudamire	31	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.22	10	-21	31	16.0	14.6	1.44	16.3	14.6	1.67
Mario West	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-19	27	13.0	15.1	-2.12	19.0	15.0	4.04
Jeremy Richardson	7	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-17	23	14.4	15.1	-0.65	15.0	15.1	-0.13
Al Horford	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-11	11	13.5	16.0	-2.58	16.1	14.5	1.54
Marvin Williams	55	55	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-9	7	14.3	16.1	-1.85	16.3	13.6	2.73
Zaza Pachulia	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-8	5	16.9	13.9	3.00	14.3	15.7	-1.43
Solomon Jones	18	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-7	3	14.6	15.1	-0.59	14.6	15.2	-0.65
Josh Childress	41	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	16.3	14.1	2.22	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Joe Johnson	91	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	8	-27	15.1	13.0	2.12	15.0	19.0	-4.04
Josh Smith	83	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.11	-22	11	-33	14.8	16.3	-1.49	14.6	18.3	-3.70
Mike Bibby	71	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.15	-25	14	-39	14.7	15.9	-1.13	14.7	16.4	-1.67

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	82	80	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.09	23	-12	35	14.7	17.8	-3.11	15.3	13.4	1.94
Rashard Lewis	76	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-9	29	15.0	15.4	-0.41	15.7	12.4	3.33
Hedo Turkoglu	77	76	0.42	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-4	19	14.9	15.9	-0.96	14.6	16.6	-1.93
Keith Bogans	61	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	7	-3	15.7	14.2	1.46	15.0	15.1	-0.04
Carlos Arroyo	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	5	1	15.5	14.7	0.80	15.8	14.3	1.41
Jameer Nelson	50	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	6	-1	14.7	15.5	-0.80	14.3	15.8	-1.41
Maurice Evans	57	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	13	-15	14.9	15.4	-0.48	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Brian Cook	17	17	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	15	-19	15.1	15.1	-0.01	15.9	14.8	1.11
Marcin Gortat	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	19	-27	19.0	15.0	4.04	13.0	15.1	-2.12
Adonal Foyle	10	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	15	-19	17.3	14.9	2.43	13.5	15.2	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 76, SAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
CHI 86, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NJN 94, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%