NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	76		Excitement	2.9 [1224]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +7.0%
San Antonio Spurs	89		Comeback	1.0 [1312]		LVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): -10.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	92%	0.09	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	55%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.02
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	17	39%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	0.05	19	42%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	19	64%	0.12	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	64%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	2	40%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	14	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.8	25.1	15.8	26.0	1.8	31.0	130.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.1%

SAS +2.6%

SAS +4.9%

SAS +8.6%

SAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	17.3	16.0	15.5	88.4	102.3	104.0
season	16.5	16.3		109.5	105.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.0	18.6	19.0	16.0	17.3
SAS	14.7	16.5	15.3	17.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	18	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-17	21	14.6	18.1	-3.50	16.2	15.9	0.32
Robert Swift	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	11.7	17.6	-5.85	22.2	15.6	6.60
Nick Collison	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-20	27	15.1	20.6	-5.47	16.5	15.2	1.33
Antonio Daniels	54	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-17	21	16.4	18.9	-2.57	16.1	15.8	0.26
Damien Wilkins	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-13	13	16.3	19.2	-2.93	16.3	15.5	0.82
Reggie Evans	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	2	-17	18.1	16.4	1.64	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Ronald Murray	58	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-4	-5	17.9	16.1	1.75	16.0	16.0	0.02
Luke Ridnour	44	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.14	-19	6	-25	18.7	15.8	2.92	15.8	16.1	-0.28
Jerome James	32	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.22	-22	9	-31	21.2	15.0	6.25	15.6	16.2	-0.64
Ray Allen	67	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.03	-17	4	-21	17.9	15.3	2.58	15.2	18.9	-3.67

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	51	50	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.21	27	-14	41	15.3	16.9	-1.56	19.5	14.4	5.10
Tony Parker	68	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-7	27	15.0	19.4	-4.41	17.9	15.3	2.59
Bruce Bowen	63	60	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.02	19	-6	25	15.2	18.0	-2.85	17.7	16.4	1.29
Manu Ginobili	58	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	7	-1	16.8	14.3	2.45	17.9	16.1	1.81
Brent Barry	45	46	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	6	1	15.1	16.9	-1.79	17.2	17.4	-0.19
Robert Horry	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	4	5	17.0	15.0	1.98	18.7	16.1	2.59
Sean Marks	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	3	7	14.2	16.7	-2.55	15.0	18.2	-3.17
Dion Glover	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	17	-21	17.3	15.6	1.65	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Tony Massenburg	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	22.2	15.6	6.60	11.7	17.6	-5.85
Mike Wilks	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	21.7	15.8	5.89	11.0	17.6	-6.55
Beno Udrih	26	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.31	-13	26	-39	18.6	14.9	3.71	15.5	18.1	-2.60
Nazr Mohammed	31	32	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.27	-12	25	-37	16.0	15.9	0.09	14.7	18.9	-4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
ATL 112, ORL 123	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
UTA 88, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%