NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	87		Excitement	8.4 [177]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +20.2%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	6.5 [169]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -20.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fabricio Oberto	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.03	-0.04	15	55%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	5	30%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	8%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.14,-0.06,-0.2	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	19	51%	0.01	5	-0.21	5	80%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	19	37%	-0.17	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.01	13	69%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	8	61%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.09	0.02	12	70%	0.27	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	56%	0.05	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	17	40%	-0.02	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.04	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.7	31.2	18.7	29.1	3.8	37.2	153.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.6%

PHX +10.2%

PHX +4.2%

SAS -8.2%

SAS -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	18.1	13.5	15.4	95.6	103.3	105.7
season	16.5	13.8		104.7	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.3		106.5	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.9	17.5	17.3	19.0	18.1
PHX	13.9	13.1	12.7	14.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	40	40	0.48	-0.98	1.46	-0.02	17	-24	41	15.0	20.6	-5.59	13.5	13.6	-0.07
Fabricio Oberto	22	23	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.01	11	-18	29	15.0	19.1	-4.04	13.6	13.5	0.09
Robert Horry	14	13	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.09	10	-17	27	16.9	18.3	-1.48	13.9	13.5	0.45
Damon Stoudamire	21	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	-6	5	16.5	18.6	-2.06	14.1	13.4	0.72
Jacque Vaughn	2	0	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-7	7	0.0	18.5	-18.52	0.0	13.5	-13.54
Michael Finley	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.28	-16	9	-25	18.9	17.4	1.50	13.5	13.6	-0.09
Manu Ginobili	60	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.50	7	-14	21	17.2	19.8	-2.57	13.5	13.6	-0.13
Tony Parker	69	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	-1	-5	18.9	15.8	3.08	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Kurt Thomas	49	49	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.21	-15	8	-23	20.1	15.8	4.27	14.2	12.8	1.40
Bruce Bowen	70	69	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.25	-19	12	-31	18.9	15.6	3.30	13.3	14.2	-0.91
Tim Duncan	64	63	-1.08	0.58	-1.65	-0.40	-23	16	-39	19.6	14.5	5.11	13.3	14.1	-0.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	71	72	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.30	21	-14	35	13.5	13.5	-0.01	18.7	15.8	2.93
Shaquille O'Neal	66	66	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.19	21	-14	35	13.5	13.6	-0.08	18.9	16.0	2.85
Amar'e Stoudemire	57	58	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.32	13	-6	19	13.9	12.9	1.00	19.5	15.7	3.83
Raja Bell	83	81	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.23	16	-9	25	13.5	14.4	-0.92	18.2	17.3	0.91
Grant Hill	70	71	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	5	-3	13.8	12.7	1.07	17.5	20.4	-2.94
Gordan Giricek	10	11	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	15	-23	13.3	13.6	-0.27	15.5	18.5	-2.92
Leandro Barbosa	55	54	-0.29	0.80	-1.09	0.06	-12	19	-31	13.2	14.1	-0.86	17.3	19.3	-2.05
Boris Diaw	43	42	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.08	-18	25	-43	13.3	13.7	-0.40	16.5	19.4	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.68,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 72, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.55,0.92,1	91.9%
DEN 89, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.43,0.84,1	91.6%
DEN 116, MIA 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.42,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.21,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.54,0.45,0.83,1	91.0%