NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	100		Excitement	5.3 [722]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +28.4%
Washington Wizards	97		Comeback	1.0 [560]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -7.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28	0.20	0.07	-0.00	20	77%	0.35	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	13	72%	0.20	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	45%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Jermareo Davidson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	41%	-0.01	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.04	0.03	18	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	70%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	28.1	15.4	27.4	1.8	45.2	142.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.5%

CHA +3.3%

CHA +12.4%

WAS -4.7%

CHA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.4	107.5	105.4	105.7
season	15.8	16.1		103.1	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		107.4	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.8	17.4	14.9	15.9	15.5
WAS	18.9	15.3	16.4	12.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	84	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-4	11	14.8	22.0	-7.17	15.4	17.1	-1.67
Matt Carroll	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	-3	9	14.8	18.4	-3.62	16.1	13.6	2.48
Jason Richardson	82	81	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	0	3	15.3	17.5	-2.29	15.4	17.3	-1.89
Nazr Mohammed	49	45	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	-5	13	14.9	16.2	-1.24	16.4	14.8	1.64
Othella Harrington	15	16	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	-5	13	16.7	15.3	1.44	17.3	15.2	2.06
Jared Dudley	50	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	5	-7	16.3	14.6	1.72	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Emeka Okafor	71	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	7	-11	14.7	18.2	-3.48	16.2	14.3	1.91
Earl Boykins	29	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.25	-6	9	-15	19.2	13.9	5.30	13.6	16.8	-3.16
Jermareo Davidson	10	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	8	-13	21.2	14.8	6.36	17.5	15.4	2.10

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-13	23	17.8	15.3	2.51	17.3	15.3	1.98
Andray Blatche	32	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-8	13	15.4	15.7	-0.26	16.9	14.8	2.06
Darius Songaila	44	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-3	3	16.1	15.2	0.92	15.6	15.4	0.18
Roger Mason Jr.	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.42	8	-11	19	13.9	18.6	-4.73	15.6	15.4	0.25
Nick Young	43	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-2	1	16.1	15.2	0.91	17.4	14.0	3.42
Dominic McGuire	30	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	8	-19	15.9	15.5	0.48	15.7	15.4	0.27
Antonio Daniels	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	0	-3	15.7	15.4	0.32	14.4	17.4	-3.05
Antawn Jamison	72	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	0	-3	15.2	17.1	-1.97	14.9	17.7	-2.77
Brendan Haywood	50	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	14	-31	17.0	14.0	3.00	15.4	15.7	-0.28
DeShawn Stevenson	64	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	0	-3	15.4	16.1	-0.72	14.9	17.0	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SEA 91, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	95.1%
OKC 119, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%