NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	4.5 [891]		MVP	Jason Richardson (CHA): +21.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	110		Comeback	2.5 [571]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -8.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	19	60%	0.08	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	8	33%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	64%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	4	87%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.06	-0.05	24	55%	0.23	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.02	0.07	7	85%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	47%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	19	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	27.6	14.8	27.5	2.4	31.5	130.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -3.1%

CHA +13.1%

CHA +27.8%

CHA +8.7%

CHA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.9	15.4	107.7	118.3	105.7
season	15.6	15.8		108.5	103.1
opponent	15.1	15.7		107.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	16.5	15.3	11.4	14.4
CHA	15.6	16.2	16.0	19.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	37	38	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-12	12	13.7	14.9	-1.23	15.7	17.7	-1.92
Jamario Moon	56	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-6	0	14.1	15.0	-0.92	14.8	20.2	-5.47
Joey Graham	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-11	10	16.1	13.7	2.39	16.5	17.0	-0.57
Jason Kapono	32	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-18	24	13.2	15.0	-1.78	18.2	16.1	2.10
T.J. Ford	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.19	-13	1	-14	13.4	15.2	-1.79	18.7	15.6	3.14
Rasho Nesterovic	56	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-5	-2	15.1	13.3	1.73	14.3	20.6	-6.31
Jose Calderon	54	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	4	-20	15.3	13.2	2.10	16.0	18.2	-2.25
Anthony Parker	74	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	-12	0	-12	13.9	16.5	-2.61	16.7	17.7	-1.02
Kris Humphries	22	23	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	-4	-4	17.1	13.6	3.54	20.1	15.8	4.33
Carlos Delfino	39	39	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	-2	-8	15.2	13.8	1.44	19.7	14.8	4.86

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	70	69	0.72	-0.22	0.95	-0.01	25	-13	38	16.6	17.6	-0.92	15.1	12.3	2.81
Jason Richardson	85	84	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-6	24	16.7	19.1	-2.47	14.3	15.4	-1.11
Matt Carroll	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-5	22	16.7	17.3	-0.63	14.6	14.0	0.60
Raymond Felton	80	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	2	8	15.9	22.7	-6.77	14.1	16.5	-2.40
Emeka Okafor	60	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-3	18	15.6	19.1	-3.49	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Othella Harrington	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	6	0	14.1	17.3	-3.20	17.2	13.9	3.29
Earl Boykins	21	20	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.22	-6	18	-24	22.3	15.3	6.99	13.9	14.5	-0.59
Ryan Hollins	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	18.5	16.8	1.70	12.7	14.5	-1.73
Jermareo Davidson	30	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	20	-28	17.9	16.4	1.52	14.3	14.5	-0.19
Nazr Mohammed	33	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.18	-11	23	-34	19.2	15.6	3.63	13.2	15.0	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
VAN 90, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DEN 67, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%