inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 67 Excitement4.3 [955] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +4.6%
San Antonio Spurs 93 Comeback2.6 [705] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -14.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.021050%0.021-0.00250%-0.01
Earl Boykins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.02950%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mark Pope-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.01167%0.001-0.0310%-0.00
Michael Doleac-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04621%-0.0300.00250%0.00
Nene-0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.03756%0.003-0.054100%0.02
Francisco Elson-0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.05617%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Rodney White-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.031138%-0.0820.00450%-0.03
Jeff Trepagnier-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.03-0.0420%-0.053-0.0400%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.15-0.01-0.061025%-0.072-0.03450%-0.01
Carmelo Anthony-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.05-0.040.041539%-0.121-0.001100%-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.001066%0.061-0.021560%-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.01850%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.02580%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03540%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.02475%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.031100%0.0000.00250%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05340%-0.022-0.00450%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.01-0.01340%-0.011-0.02450%-0.01
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.000.022100%0.023-0.054100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01742%-0.091-0.021275%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.19-0.01-0.07918%-0.093-0.04450%-0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.05927%-0.103-0.044100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.61.830.216.630.02.529.4137.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +23.9%
SAS +21.3%
SAS +5.9%
DEN -0.6%
DEN -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSASNBADENSASNBA
this game15.114.615.769.195.9100.5
season14.915.9101.6100.1
opponent15.815.492.7101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.616.614.813.615.1
SAS15.713.415.214.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard4443-0.04-0.460.430.02-2-242213.716.3-2.6816.612.93.66
Francisco Elson3435-0.10-0.400.300.04-5-211614.115.7-1.5016.813.33.45
Nene4847-0.15-0.350.19-0.01-5-211613.616.6-3.0516.712.54.18
Jeff Trepagnier1517-0.20-0.300.110.18-13-13013.515.4-1.8813.514.8-1.26
Earl Boykins3634-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-17817.513.73.8212.615.6-3.05
Mark Pope2324-0.23-0.270.030.00-8-181014.315.4-1.0715.214.40.85
Carmelo Anthony5354-0.24-0.260.030.03-9-17813.816.7-2.8516.512.14.44
Michael Doleac4443-0.25-0.250.010.22-16-10-616.514.02.4412.416.3-3.86
Ryan Bowen4443-0.26-0.24-0.030.24-17-9-816.713.82.8512.116.5-4.44
Rodney White4545-0.27-0.23-0.030.26-18-8-1016.613.82.8012.316.5-4.21
Nikoloz Tskitishvili4545-0.27-0.23-0.030.26-18-8-1016.613.82.8012.316.5-4.21
Andre Miller5455-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-16613.916.7-2.7416.412.24.15

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan62610.53-0.030.56-0.062061415.812.43.3915.514.50.95
Bruce Bowen61620.450.050.400.101214-215.712.72.9315.214.90.33
Tony Parker54520.320.180.140.11719-1215.213.71.5215.115.1-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu52490.280.220.07-0.101313014.914.10.8115.115.1-0.04
Rasho Nesterovic46460.240.26-0.020.13422-1815.713.62.0614.715.5-0.90
Manu Ginobili55570.220.28-0.06-0.071016-614.914.20.6615.814.11.74
Malik Rose31300.190.31-0.12-0.31179812.415.6-3.1616.214.61.56
Jason Hart30310.150.35-0.21-0.381881012.315.6-3.2315.914.81.15
Matt Carroll28290.080.42-0.34-0.18917-813.714.9-1.1513.216.0-2.78
Robert Horry36380.040.46-0.43-0.08422-1814.214.8-0.5915.115.2-0.12
Kevin Willis19190.000.50-0.49-0.20719-1212.215.2-3.0013.615.5-1.92
Charlie Ward11110.000.50-0.50-0.26917-810.215.1-4.9513.815.3-1.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 81, MIL 1000.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
ATL 87, MIN 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%
LAL 100, IND 1100.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%