NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	116		Excitement	2.6 [1244]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +11.7%
Phoenix Suns	86		Comeback	1.1 [607]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (PHX): -8.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.19	0.00	0.08	10	88%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.06	11	82%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	15	58%	0.04	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	15	44%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	9	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	3	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.08	21	57%	0.04	2	-0.02	12	92%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	11	67%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	8	61%	0.05	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	8	29%	-0.04	3	-0.05	8	12%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	3.5	32.2	17.8	27.3	3.4	31.5	142.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +29.8%

DET +5.5%

DET +9.2%

DET +4.6%

DET +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	13.8	15.4	119.6	88.7	105.7
season	16.8	13.8		108.8	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.8		106.5	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	15.2	16.2	17.2	15.9
PHX	15.0	13.1	14.4	12.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	59	60	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.55	38	-8	46	14.7	17.7	-2.91	14.9	12.1	2.83
Richard Hamilton	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.42	33	-3	36	15.2	17.3	-2.13	14.6	12.2	2.37
Tayshaun Prince	48	50	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.48	28	2	26	15.7	16.0	-0.31	14.7	12.8	1.93
Amir Johnson	39	38	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	16	-2	14.7	16.7	-1.95	14.3	13.5	0.88
Rasheed Wallace	52	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.41	24	6	18	16.5	15.1	1.41	13.8	13.8	0.05
Jason Maxiell	46	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	35	-40	15.5	16.3	-0.78	13.2	14.4	-1.23
Antonio McDyess	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.37	19	11	8	16.4	15.3	1.14	14.2	13.4	0.86
Jarvis Hayes	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	33	-36	16.5	15.4	1.12	13.0	14.4	-1.33
Juan Dixon	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	25	-20	12.7	16.1	-3.43	10.8	14.0	-3.17
Walter Herrmann	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	22	-14	16.2	15.9	0.40	12.0	13.9	-1.94
Arron Afflalo	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	33	-36	17.3	15.2	2.13	12.2	14.6	-2.37
Rodney Stuckey	38	37	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.17	-8	38	-46	17.7	14.7	2.91	12.1	14.9	-2.83

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-26	22	12.2	14.0	-1.83	17.1	15.7	1.37
Linton Johnson	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-32	34	12.8	14.1	-1.35	17.2	15.5	1.76
DJ Strawberry	23	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-28	26	14.3	13.6	0.71	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Boris Diaw	41	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.28	-13	-17	4	13.9	13.7	0.17	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Leandro Barbosa	60	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.16	-14	-16	2	13.4	14.5	-1.15	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Steve Nash	66	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.41	-26	-4	-22	13.8	13.8	0.04	16.1	15.4	0.75
Raja Bell	64	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.37	-26	-4	-22	13.7	13.9	-0.16	16.0	15.7	0.28
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.26	-23	-7	-16	14.0	13.1	0.96	16.2	15.0	1.28
Grant Hill	54	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.27	-24	-6	-18	14.6	12.9	1.70	15.1	16.8	-1.75
Shaquille O'Neal	69	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.10	-20	-10	-10	13.8	13.9	-0.17	15.4	16.9	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.2,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 127, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
CHA 112, MEM 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
POR 88, CHI 63	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%