NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	2.3 [1211]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): +5.0%
Chicago Bulls	63		Comeback	1.0 [1259]		LVP	Dickey Simpkins (CHI): -13.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	8	83%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	8	39%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	4	25%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	3	33%	0.00	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	7	69%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	62%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	20	52%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dedric Willoughby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.18	0.00	-0.10	20	40%	-0.04	5	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.20	-0.00	-0.10	11	9%	-0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.06	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	29.3	15.7	28.2	2.7	26.0	125.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.2%

POR +5.2%

CHI -3.0%

POR +12.1%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	15.4	15.2	90.7	62.4	101.7
season	15.9	16.5		105.9	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.7		102.3	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	12.8	13.0	15.0	13.7
CHI	15.0	16.5	15.1	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	59	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.36	28	-3	31	13.0	14.7	-1.74	15.4	15.4	0.01
Steven Smith	58	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.36	28	-3	31	13.1	14.5	-1.35	14.8	16.2	-1.41
Scottie Pippen	55	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.23	22	3	19	13.3	14.2	-0.94	15.3	15.5	-0.28
Rasheed Wallace	59	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.28	21	4	17	13.0	14.7	-1.65	15.6	15.0	0.61
Arvydas Sabonis	40	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	10	5	13.4	13.9	-0.43	15.5	15.3	0.25
Detlef Schrempf	38	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	21	-17	13.4	13.9	-0.51	16.2	14.9	1.34
Jermaine O'Neal	37	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	13	-1	14.7	13.0	1.65	13.5	16.5	-2.99
Brian Grant	32	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	25	-25	13.9	13.6	0.34	16.8	14.7	2.19
Bonzi Wells	39	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	28	-31	14.5	13.1	1.35	16.2	14.8	1.41
Greg Anthony	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	28	-31	14.7	13.0	1.74	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	24	26	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	22	-19	14.9	13.3	1.59	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Antonio Harvey	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	15.2	13.6	1.58	14.4	15.4	-1.03

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khalid Reeves	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-30	35	16.7	15.2	1.51	13.8	13.7	0.19
Will Perdue	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.15	-6	-19	13	15.4	15.4	-0.03	12.8	13.9	-1.04
Dedric Willoughby	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-16	7	15.8	15.3	0.51	14.3	13.5	0.77
B.J. Armstrong	53	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-13	1	14.5	16.3	-1.78	14.2	13.1	1.12
Chris Anstey	41	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-19	13	15.1	15.5	-0.43	14.4	13.2	1.13
Dickey Simpkins	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-14	3	16.0	14.9	1.07	13.3	13.9	-0.63
Michael Ruffin	50	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.07	-12	-13	1	15.1	15.6	-0.51	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Randy Brown	40	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.17	-16	-9	-7	15.5	15.3	0.25	12.9	14.2	-1.30
Metta World Peace	72	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-9	-7	15.5	15.0	0.58	13.8	13.4	0.43
Corey Benjamin	77	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.21	-19	-6	-13	14.9	16.8	-1.91	13.8	13.2	0.61
Elton Brand	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.21	-23	-2	-21	15.8	13.9	1.89	13.3	15.0	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 123, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
ORL 99, CLE 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
GSW 120, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%