NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	4.3 [939]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +12.9%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	1.0 [1155]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -8.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.06	16	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	15	61%	0.11	3	-0.07	11	82%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	10	67%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.05	19	60%	0.03	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	10	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	12	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.04	0.09	17	77%	0.19	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.00	0.06	10	85%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	16	49%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	11	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	29.4	16.5	29.3	2.7	29.2	131.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.5%

PHI -1.3%

ORL +11.6%

PHI -10.0%

ORL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	17.0	15.4	110.0	126.4	105.7
season	15.2	15.1		104.0	109.9
opponent	15.6	16.2		104.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	15.9	16.0	12.8	14.8
ORL	15.5	18.4	16.8	17.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	28	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-16	16	14.7	14.8	-0.13	17.4	16.9	0.48
Jason Smith	15	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-13	10	14.3	14.9	-0.60	18.6	16.8	1.81
Kevin Ollie	8	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-15	14	11.1	15.1	-4.00	21.3	16.7	4.60
Calvin Booth	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-14	12	13.1	15.6	-2.50	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Lou Williams	48	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-7	-2	14.1	15.5	-1.46	17.2	16.8	0.39
Thaddeus Young	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-4	-8	15.5	13.9	1.62	16.2	18.0	-1.73
Willie Green	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	15.1	14.2	0.95	17.1	17.0	0.12
Samuel Dalembert	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-2	-12	15.6	13.1	2.50	17.4	16.2	1.21
Andre Miller	79	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-2	-12	15.1	12.3	2.84	16.7	19.9	-3.16
Andre Iguodala	80	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	-2	-12	14.6	16.0	-1.39	16.9	17.7	-0.72

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	78	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.08	22	-6	28	16.8	18.5	-1.74	14.9	13.7	1.26
Hedo Turkoglu	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-1	18	17.2	15.8	1.40	14.9	14.0	0.88
Jameer Nelson	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	0	16	16.8	17.4	-0.57	15.4	13.6	1.81
Rashard Lewis	74	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	7	2	16.9	17.8	-0.96	14.8	14.5	0.33
Maurice Evans	60	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	9	-2	16.2	18.7	-2.58	14.8	14.7	0.14
Brian Cook	15	17	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	5	6	18.3	16.8	1.46	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Keith Bogans	46	44	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	12	-8	17.7	16.3	1.41	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Keyon Dooling	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	16	-16	17.4	16.8	0.57	13.6	15.4	-1.81
Adonal Foyle	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	22	-28	18.5	16.8	1.74	13.7	14.9	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
POR 80, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIN 113, GSW 126	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%