NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	5.4 [769]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +25.5%
Golden State Warriors	126		Comeback	1.0 [1277]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -15.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	24	57%	0.13	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	13	46%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	18	26%	-0.13	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.19	0.05	-0.01	13	96%	0.30	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.04	-0.02	19	70%	0.23	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.01	0.03	14	81%	0.20	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.7	27.4	15.7	23.0	2.8	30.5	128.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +62.6%

MIN -8.8%

GSW +3.4%

MIN -8.8%

GSW +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	GSW	NBA	MIN	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	12.8	14.7	111.9	123.5	107.5
season	15.3	13.7		111.8	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.4		105.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.3	15.8	16.6	12.6	15.6
GSW	11.0	12.3	12.2	15.6	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-12	11	16.5	15.3	1.19	12.1	13.1	-0.98
Tyus Jones	27	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-15	17	15.8	15.5	0.31	12.3	13.0	-0.69
Jamal Crawford	52	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-10	7	14.5	16.8	-2.31	14.1	11.4	2.70
Marcus Georges-Hunt	24	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-4	-5	16.0	15.5	0.49	12.7	12.8	-0.10
Andrew Wiggins	78	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-7	1	15.3	16.5	-1.21	12.8	12.7	0.10
Nemanja Bjelica	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-6	-1	16.3	13.3	2.95	12.4	14.2	-1.89
Jeff Teague	73	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	0	-13	15.7	15.4	0.31	13.0	12.3	0.69
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	15.3	16.5	-1.19	13.1	12.1	0.98
Taj Gibson	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	3	-19	15.7	15.4	0.29	12.3	13.9	-1.60

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-7	27	12.8	12.7	0.14	15.6	15.5	0.08
Kevin Durant	77	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	-6	25	12.8	12.7	0.16	15.7	15.3	0.33
Andre Iguodala	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	-1	15	12.9	12.7	0.26	15.6	15.6	0.02
Nick Young	31	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	5	3	12.9	12.8	0.10	16.1	15.4	0.73
Kevon Looney	28	27	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	5	3	13.1	12.7	0.47	16.0	15.4	0.57
Draymond Green	72	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	10	-7	12.4	13.8	-1.46	15.1	16.6	-1.44
Klay Thompson	77	77	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	9	-5	12.6	13.5	-0.90	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Zaza Pachulia	36	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	10	-7	11.9	13.3	-1.46	16.8	14.9	1.86
Shaun Livingston	33	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	18	-23	14.0	12.2	1.77	15.5	15.6	-0.19
David West	23	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	22	-31	13.6	12.6	1.04	14.7	15.9	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NYK 89, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SEA 80, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%