NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	132		Excitement	15.4 [2]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +65.2%
Phoenix Suns	130		Comeback	5.5 [162]		LVP	David West (NOH): -33.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.65	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.65	0.17	0.51	0.02	19	68%	0.65	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.52	0.12	0.40	0.00	14	65%	0.52	0	0.00	6	100%	0.12
Chris Paul	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.02	-0.00	33	61%	0.25	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.34	-0.10	-0.25	-0.01	24	40%	-0.20	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.04

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.41	0.41	0.14	0.27	0.00	12	76%	0.48	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.24,0.09,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.17	0.01	23	68%	1.02	10	-0.85	1	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	8	69%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	6	69%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	22	51%	0.10	1	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	-0.17	-0.01	16	69%	0.23	3	-0.31	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.20	0.00	7	57%	0.06	4	-0.31	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.3	15.6	25.0	1.8	28.2	1.5	18.0	1.8	17.6	163.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -130.2%

NOH +31.6%

NOH +11.0%

NOH +131.8%

NOH +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	13.3	15.4	116.8	113.0	105.7
season	15.9	13.8		109.6	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.7		106.5	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	18.1	17.4	16.8	18.1	15.8	17.2
PHX	12.7	12.6	12.0	15.5	14.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	98	100	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-9	20	17.2	17.5	-0.33	13.2	13.9	-0.64
Peja Stojakovic	95	96	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-8	18	17.0	18.8	-1.82	13.1	14.6	-1.52
David West	102	104	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-4	10	17.5	14.5	2.99	13.4	12.6	0.75
Jannero Pargo	62	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	-1	4	15.7	19.1	-3.41	13.7	12.8	0.91
Bobby Jackson	46	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.38	-5	7	-12	18.5	16.4	2.19	14.6	12.4	2.29
Melvin Ely	34	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-4	10	17.5	17.2	0.32	12.8	13.5	-0.70
Hilton Armstrong	48	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	4	-6	18.0	16.7	1.31	13.2	13.4	-0.24
Ryan Bowen	19	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	8	-14	17.9	17.1	0.84	13.6	13.2	0.37
Morris Peterson	38	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	8	-14	18.4	16.6	1.81	12.0	13.9	-1.98
Rasual Butler	11	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.03	-7	9	-16	16.5	17.3	-0.88	13.3	13.3	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ Strawberry	21	20	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-8	14	14.1	13.1	0.96	18.7	16.9	1.76
Boris Diaw	82	84	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-10	18	13.8	12.1	1.76	17.7	16.0	1.63
Grant Hill	79	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.36	9	-11	20	13.1	13.8	-0.68	17.7	16.3	1.45
Amar'e Stoudemire	99	99	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-4	6	13.3	13.6	-0.36	16.9	19.5	-2.57
Brian Skinner	30	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	9	-20	12.8	13.5	-0.65	17.9	17.0	0.89
Steve Nash	90	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	2	-6	13.1	13.9	-0.78	17.1	17.9	-0.85
Raja Bell	94	93	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	6	-14	13.1	14.1	-0.96	16.9	18.7	-1.76
Leandro Barbosa	80	77	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	10	-22	13.4	13.0	0.41	16.7	18.4	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.44,0.52,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.36,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 92, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.58,0	87.0%
POR 80, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.47,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	86.9%
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	86.7%